Match Info

Date: 23 January 2022, Sunday


	Pergolettese		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.1	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.25	1.7
	3.85	3.2	1.84
	4.62	3.48	1.74
	4.2	3.2	1.8
	4.5	3.44	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↓ (5.99)	3.28 ↓ (3.57)	1.77 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
21%

Draw
27.7%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

25.4%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

21%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pergolettese's performance.

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Südtirol-Alto Adige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pergolettese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Südtirol-Alto Adige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pergolettese - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Recent matches Pergolettese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Südtirol is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Südtirol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Südtirol have a series of guest games.

In this match Südtirol is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
21.12.21	Juventus U23 - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
18.12.21	Pro Patria - Pergolettese	2:1 ✺
12.12.21	Pergolettese - Renate	1:0 ✺
04.12.21	Pergolettese - Mantova	1:1 ✺
27.11.21	FeralpiSalò - Pergolettese	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWTL
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.01.22	Fidelis Andria - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:4 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
12.12.21	Padova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
05.12.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Fiorenzuola	4:1 ✺
28.11.21	Lecco - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
24.11.21	Teramo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
19.09.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Pergolettese	1:0

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