Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 31

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Pergolettese		Mantova

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	3.3	1.7
	4.75	3.6	1.7
	5.05	3.58	1.72
	5.06	3.58	1.72
	4.5	3.4	1.7
	4.62	3.48	1.69
	4.6	3.5	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.7 ↑ (3.72)	3.49 ↓ (3.68)	1.7 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
19.6%

Draw
26.4%

Mantova
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

24.9%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

24.3%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Pergolettese - Mantova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Soncin M. (G) 2. Tonoli D. 4. Arini M. 30. Bignami R. 7. Bariti D. (C) 6. Andreoli L. 5. Figoli M. 80. Jaouhari Z. 3. Lambrughi A. 10. Mazzarani A. 11. Guiu B.	1. Festa M. (G) 5. Redolfi A. 87. De Maio S. 4. Celesia C. 11. Fiori A. 28. Muroni M. 8. Burrai S. 17. Radaelli N. 7. Mensah D. 14. Galuppini F. 9. Debenedetti A.
Substitutes
77. Bozzuto R. 70. Caia F. 1. Cattaneo M. (G) 8. Cerasani J. 12. Doldi F. (G) 9. Piu A. 14. Sartori G. 24. Schiavini A. 23. Tacchinardi G.	24. Argint G. 6. Bani C. 19. Bombagi F. 30. Bragantini D. 13. Brignani F. 16. Cavalli T. 20. Fedel G. 90. Giacomelli S. 27. Maggioni T. 45. Monachello G. 22. Napoli A. (G) 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 21. Trimboli S. 10. Wieser D.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 1.

Recent matches Pergolettese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mantova is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pergolettese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mantova is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Pergolettese won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
05.03.24	Legnago Salus - Pergolettese	2:1 ✺
01.03.24	Pergolettese - Alessandria	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Pergolettese - Pro Vercelli	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Trento - Pergolettese	1:3 ✺
14.02.24	Pergolettese - Fiorenzuola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWL
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
05.03.24	Mantova - Virtus Verona	4:0 ✺
02.03.24	Pro Vercelli - Mantova	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Novara - Mantova	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Mantova - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
13.02.24	Alessandria - Mantova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
05.11.23	Mantova - Pergolettese	4:1
26.02.23	Pergolettese - Mantova	0:0
23.10.22	Mantova - Pergolettese	2:1
10.04.22	Mantova - Pergolettese	0:2
04.12.21	Pergolettese - Mantova	1:1
Italian Lega Pro C2/A
16.02.14	Mantova - Pergolettese	2:1
13.10.13	Pergolettese - Mantova	0:0

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