Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 17

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Virtus Verona		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.42	3.1	2.78
	2.6	3.15	2.84
	2.43	3.14	2.81	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.75
	2.45	3.22	2.86	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.36)	3.1 ↓ (3.28)	2.81 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Verona
37.4%

Draw
29.7%

Pergolettese
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27.9%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

27.4%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Virtus Verona - Pergolettese Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Virtus Verona will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sibi S. (G) 75. Bassi M. 6. Daffara M. 9. De Marchi M. 99. Fabbro M. 5. Fanini F. 20. Fiorin G. 30. Gatti C. 95. Munaretti L. 28. Patane N. 23. Toffanin F.	1. Cordaro L. (G) 27. Aidoo M. 4. Arini M. 26. Bane A. 21. Careccia S. 11. Corti N. 6. Dore S. 14. Lambrughi A. 72. Padalino A. 9. Parker S. 77. Pessolani G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Fiorin G. ⚽,
20', 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Parker S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Patane N. ↓, Amadio M. ↑,
47', Fanini F. ↓, Bulevardi D. ↑,
49', 🟨,
56', Careccia S. 🟨,
73', Corti N. ↓, Ferrandino D. ↑,
73', Aidoo M. ↓, Antolini J. ↑,
76', Dore S. ↓, Tremolada M. ↑,
79', Fabbro M. ↓, Mastour H. ↑,
80', Daffara M. 🟨,
87', Careccia S. ↓, Jaouhari Z. ↑,
87', De Marchi M. ↓, Pagliuca M. ↑,
90', Fiorin G. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Verona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
29.11.25	Ospitaletto - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Virtus Verona - Triestina	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	AlbinoLeffe - Virtus Verona	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Renate - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Virtus Verona - Trento	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLLL
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
29.11.25	Pergolettese - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
21.11.25	Pro Patria - Pergolettese	3:1 ✺
17.11.25	Pergolettese - Giana Erminio	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Pergolettese - Novara	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
05.04.25	Pergolettese - Virtus Verona	1:2
24.11.24	Virtus Verona - Pergolettese	1:2
13.04.24	Virtus Verona - Pergolettese	1:2
08.12.23	Pergolettese - Virtus Verona	2:1
26.03.23	Virtus Verona - Pergolettese	1:0
27.11.22	Pergolettese - Virtus Verona	0:2
29.01.22	Virtus Verona - Pergolettese	0:2

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