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Current Win Probability
Adelaide United 50%
Draw 24.3%
Central Coast Mariners 25.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60%
21.9%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.2%
16.5%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide United's form might have worsened.
Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Central Coast Mariners's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.3%
17.9%
17.9%
Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 18 - 64.3%). Central Coast will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 46.6% – 82%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Adelaide United will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Smits J. (G) 58. Crawford H. 71. Stanisic V. 52. Phillis S. 7. Kitto R. 14. Barnett J. 12. Yull J. 44. White R. 10. Muniz J. 42. Ayoubi A. 11. Goodwin C. (C)
30. Redmayne A. (G) 15. Roux S. 26. Tapp B. (C) 2. Donachie J. 5. Mauragis L. 6. Eames H. 16. Steele H. 10. Di Pizio M. 8. McCalmont A. 37. Brandtman B. 11. James Ngor S.
Substitutes
87. Anselmo 40. Cox E. (G) 23. Duzel L. 65. Garuccio J. 36. Madanha P. 62. Talladira F. 74. Tatu A.
50. Ajanovic J. (G) 22. De Lima A. 14. Duarte N. 24. Herrington D. 20. Kennedy W. 42. Taylor L. 7. Theoharous C.
Coaches
Andrioli A.
Moon W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
7', Stanisic V. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, McCalmont A. (Penalty Awarded),
20', 0 - 2, James Ngor S. ⚽, Di Pizio M. (A),
22', 0 - 3, Brandtman B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Stanisic V. ↓, Tatu A. ↑,
46', Crawford H. ↓, Duzel L. ↑,
52', McCalmont A. 🟨,
55', 0 - 4, Di Pizio M. ⚽, Brandtman B. (A),
58', Eames H. ↓, Duarte N. ↑,
69', Muniz J. ↓, Garuccio J. ↑,
70', Goodwin C. ↓, Madanha P. ↑,
78', Brandtman B. ↓, De Lima A. ↑,
78', James Ngor S. ↓, Herrington D. ↑,
81', Mauragis L. 🟨,
84', De Lima A. 🟨,
90', Steele H. ↓, Taylor L. ↑,
90', Di Pizio M. ↓, Theoharous C. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
Adelaide has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Central Coast has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Central Coast has had a series of home games.
In this match, Adelaide is the team to beat.
There will not play in Adelaide: Anselmo
(Groin Injury)
Pierias D.
(Inactive)
Vriends B.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Central Coast: De Lima A.
(Injury)
Sainsbury T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:33. (average 1.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.8:1.6).
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Smits J. (G) 
Crawford H. 
Muniz J. 
Roux S. 
McCalmont A. 
Anselmo 
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