Match Info

A-League - Round 24

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Central Coast Stadium (Polytec) (Gosford)

Referee: Shakespear N. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV Asia
Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV, Vidio
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 4
Philippines	SPOTV
South-korea	SPOTV
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	SPOTV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV
World	Onefootball


	Central Coast Mariners		Brisbane Roar

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	2.1	Watch
	2.55	3.5	2.5
	3.05	3.45	2.18	Watch
	3.24	3.66	2.25
	3.04	3.67	2.24	Watch
	3	3.3	2.2
	3.05	3.61	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.51)	3.54 ↑ (3.42)	2.26 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners
31.4%

Draw
26.7%

Brisbane Roar
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

26.9%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

25.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Coast Mariners's form might have worsened.

Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane Roar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Coast Mariners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Roar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Central Coast will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Brisbane will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Redmayne A. (C) 15. Roux S. 2. Donachie J. 26. Tapp B. 5. Mauragis L. 45. Mantell J. 37. Brandtman B. 6. Eames H. 72. Auglah A. 23. Lavale O. 11. James Ngor S.	1. Bouzanis D. (G) 2. Salas Y. 3. Valkanis D. 5. Lode M. 23. McGarry J. 31. Maieroni N. 19. Ruhs M. 8. Klein S. 26. O'Shea J. (C) 10. Vrakas G. 39. Thom N.
Substitutes
18. Blair N. 22. De Lima A. 48. Donnell C. 43. Nasso J. 3. Paull N. 40. Peraic-Cullen D. (G) 16. Steele H.	16. Dench M. 11. Freke M. (G) 27. Halloran B. 13. Hore H. 44. Lauton J. 6. Ludwik A. 30. MacNicol Q.
Coaches
Moon W.	Valkanis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Klein S. ⚽, McGarry J. (A),
12', Donachie J. 🟨,
25', Klein S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', James Ngor S. ↓, Blair N. ↑,
46', Brandtman B. ↓, Donnell C. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Mantell J. ⚽, Eames H. (A),
58', 2 - 1, Blair N. ⚽, Mauragis L. (A),
61', Mauragis L. 🟨,
61', Ruhs M. 🟨,
63', Thom N. ↓, MacNicol Q. ↑,
63', Ruhs M. ↓, Hore H. ↑,
70', Mauragis L. ↓, Steele H. ↑,
73', O'Shea J. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
81', Lavale O. ↓, De Lima A. ↑,
81', Vrakas G. ↓, Halloran B. ↑,
85', Auglah A. ↓, Paull N. ↑,
87', Blair N. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Lauton J. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 10)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 3.

Central Coast has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brisbane's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Central Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Brisbane has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Central Coast: Clark S. (Injury) Di Pizio M. (Injury) McCalmont A. (Inactive) Sainsbury T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Theoharous C. (Injury)

There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N. (Muscle Injury) Bility H. (Inactive) D'Agostino N. (Knee Injury) Long Ch. (Ankle Injury) Stajic M. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Central Coast: Nasso J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.5:1.9).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Brisbane Roar: 3.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Brisbane Roar - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.4%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League
07.04.26	Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Central Coast Mariners - Adelaide United	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTLTW
- Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League
02.04.26	Brisbane Roar - Sydney	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Brisbane Roar - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Brisbane Roar - Perth Glory	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Sydney - Brisbane Roar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
07.02.26	Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners	1:2
31.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	1:2
02.05.25	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	1:2
03.01.25	Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners	1:3
27.01.24	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	2:0
21.12.23	Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners	0:3
12.11.23	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	1:2

Upcoming Matches