Match Info

A-League - Round 8

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Central Coast Stadium (Gosford)

Referee: Morgan J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Central Coast Mariners		Auckland FC

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.8	1.81	Watch
	3.95	3.7	1.82
	4.09	3.94	1.88
	3.96	3.91	1.84	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.8
	4.22	3.91	1.86	Watch
	3.8	3.8	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↓ (5)	3.81 ↑ (3.8)	1.84 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners
23.8%

Draw
24.8%

Auckland FC
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

24.3%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

23.8%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central Coast Mariners's performance.

Auckland FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Auckland FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central Coast Mariners that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auckland FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	5.6%	77.8%

Central Coast Mariners - Auckland FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Central Coast will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Auckland will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auckland: 58.6% – 97%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Auckland (2.02) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Auckland FC will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Auckland (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Redmayne A. (G) 15. Roux S. 2. Donachie J. 3. Paull N. (C) 5. Mauragis L. 8. McCalmont A. 26. Tapp B. 16. Steele H. 10. Di Pizio M. 37. Brandtman B. 7. Theoharous C.	1. Woud M. (G) 17. Elliot C. 23. Hall D. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 15. De Vries F. 22. Brimmer J. (C) 6. Verstraete L. 27. Rogerson L. 77. Brook L. 21. Randall J. 9. Cosgrove S.
Substitutes
22. De Lima A. 14. Duarte N. 9. Edmondson R. 11. James Ngor S. 20. Kennedy W. 41. Mutokoyi S. 40. Peraic-Cullen D. (G)	11. Francois M. 8. Gallegos L. F. 7. Howieson C. 10. May G. 4. Pijnaker N. 20. Sail O. (G) 2. Sakai H.
Coaches
Moon W.	Corica S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Randall J. ⚽, De Vries F. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Elliot C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 2, Cosgrove S. ⚽, Brook L. (A),
64', Rogerson L. ↓, Pijnaker N. ↑,
68', Brandtman B. ↓, Edmondson R. ↑,
69', Theoharous C. ↓, James Ngor S. ↑,
69', Cosgrove S. ↓, May G. ↑,
69', Randall J. ↓, Francois M. ↑,
69', Brimmer J. ↓, Gallegos L. F. ↑,
75', Steele H. ↓, Kennedy W. ↑,
75', Elliot C. ↓, Sakai H. ↑,
83', Kennedy W. 🟨,
85', Roux S. ↓, Duarte N. ↑,
86', Di Pizio M. ↓, De Lima A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Central Coast has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Auckland is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Auckland has had a series of home games.

In this match, Auckland is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Central Coast won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League
06.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Sydney	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	3:2 ✺
07.11.25	Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTLWT
- Auckland FC
Australian A-League
05.12.25	Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Auckland FC - Brisbane Roar	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Wellington Phoenix - Auckland FC	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Auckland FC - Adelaide United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
16.03.25	Auckland FC - Central Coast Mariners	2:2
28.12.24	Central Coast Mariners - Auckland FC	1:4

Central Coast Mariners - Auckland FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide