Match Info

A-League - Round 13

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: CommBank Stadium (Sydney)

Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV Asia
Australia	10 Play, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
Indonesia	SPOTV
Mongolia	SPOTV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 3
Philippines	SPOTV
South-korea	SPOTV
Thailand	SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV


	Western Sydney Wanderers		Newcastle Jets

	1	X	2
	2.1	4.1	2.85	Watch
	2.18	3.95	2.82
	2.17	4.09	2.93	Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.7
	2.34	4.08	2.8	Watch
	2.28	3.8	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.01)	3.94 ↑ (3.88)	2.81 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Sydney Wanderers
42.6%

Draw
23.9%

Newcastle Jets
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

23.8%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

23.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Sydney Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	27.3%	59.1%

Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Western Sydney will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Newcastle will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Newcastle (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thomas L. (C) 17. Carluccio J. 19. Tongyik R. 22. Pantazopoulos A. 3. Gersbach A. 32. Thurgate A. 5. Scicluna D. 25. Brillante J. 9. Barbarouses K. 45. Kuol A. 26. Borrello B.	1. Delianov J. (G) 22. Bertolissio J. 5. Shaughnessy J. 33. Natta M. 23. Wilmering D. 8. Bayliss L. 7. Adams E. 28. Dobson W. 14. Burgess M. (C) 13. Taylor C. 9. Rose L.
Substitutes
37. Abdul-Rahman A. 24. Barrie N. 30. Holmes J. (G) 11. Ibusuki H. 39. Lual A. 38. Rose J. 8. Ugarkovic S.	43. Bertoncello X. 42. Cooper M. 11. Gibson B. 17. Grozos K. 18. Mizunuma K. 20. Nassiep A. (G) 41. Scicluna L.
Coaches
Stajcic A.	Milligan M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Shaughnessy J. ⚽, Adams E. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Adams E. ⚽, Dobson W. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Adams E. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
46', Kuol A. ↓, Ibusuki H. ↑,
64', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
64', Carluccio J. ↓, Ugarkovic S. ↑,
64', Taylor C. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
72', Dobson W. ↓, Scicluna L. ↑,
77', Barbarouses K. ↓, Rose J. ↑,
77', Gersbach A. ↓, Barrie N. ↑,
78', Borrello B. ↓, Lual A. ↑,
79', Barrie N. 🟨,
83', 1 - 2, Lual A. ⚽, Pantazopoulos A. (A),
90', Burgess M. ↓, Grozos K. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 2.

Western Sydney is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Newcastle is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Western Sydney is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Western Sydney: Bonetig A. (Inactive) Hammond A. (International duty) Simmons A. (International duty)

There will not play in Newcastle: Aquilina T. (Inactive) Badolato A. (Injury) Baylis J. (Inactive) Bracco C. (Inactive) Fryer O. (Knee Injury) James N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Dobson W. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:34. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Western Sydney won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.9:1.9).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Newcastle Jets: 13.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	WS Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League
10.01.26	Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:1 ✺
01.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Macarthur FC	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:2 ✺
19.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Auckland FC	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLLT
- Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League
11.01.26	Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets	0:1 ✺
31.12.25	Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
26.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC	4:5 ✺
20.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Sydney	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
26.04.25	Newcastle Jets - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:1
08.11.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	4:1
11.02.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	3:3
05.11.23	Newcastle Jets - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:2
21.01.23	Newcastle Jets - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:1
28.10.22	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	2:0
20.04.22	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	3:2

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