The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Perth Glory 41.5%
Draw 26.7%
Brisbane Roar 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
26.2%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
26.4%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perth Glory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perth Glory's performance.
Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brisbane Roar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perth Glory that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brisbane Roar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Perth Glory - Brisbane Roar Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Perth will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Perth: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Sutton M. (G) 2. Shamoon C. A. 45. Kaltack B. 4. Wootton S. (C) 3. Sutton S. 9. Kucharski J. 39. De Abreu G. 27. Freney W. 7. Pennington N. 16. Popovic G. 25. Despotovski S.
1. Bouzanis D. (C) 2. Salas Y. 3. Valkanis D. 5. Lode M. 16. Dench M. 31. Maieroni N. 19. Ruhs M. 44. Lauton J. 8. Klein S. 13. Hore H. 17. Vidic J.
Substitutes
67. Colakovski S. 23. Didulica A. 24. Lebib A. 19. Risdon J. 17. Sulemani A. 22. Taggart A. 40. Warner R. (G)
35. Evagorou-Alao M. 11. Freke M. (G) 27. Halloran B. 6. Ludwik A. 26. O'Shea J. 39. Thom N. 10. Vrakas G.
Coaches
Griffiths A.
Valkanis M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Popovic G. (Penalty Awarded),
19', Maieroni N. ↓, O'Shea J. ↑,
21', Kucharski J. 🟨,
31', Pennington N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Klein S. 🟨,
56', Ruhs M. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Valkanis D. ⚽,
69', Ruhs M. ↓, Halloran B. ↑,
70', Popovic G. ↓, Taggart A. ↑,
71', Pennington N. ↓, Colakovski S. ↑,
76', Kucharski J. ↓, Didulica A. ↑,
76', Sutton S. ↓, Risdon J. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Despotovski S. ⚽,
77', Despotovski S. 🟨,
80', Lode M. ↓, Thom N. ↑,
83', Shamoon C. A. ↓, Lebib A. ↑,
85', Lebib A. 🟨,
90+3', Hore H. 🟨,
90+3', Freney W. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth won 2.
Perth has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Brisbane's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Brisbane has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Perth: Anasmo J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Cook C.
(Knee Injury)
Lawrence T.
(Foot Injury)
O'Neill B.
(Injury)
Ostler T.
(Injury)
Timmins C.
(Inactive)
Wales L.
(Injury)
There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N.
(Muscle Injury)
D'Agostino N.
(Knee Injury)
Long Ch.
(Ankle Injury)
Stajic M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Warland B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Brisbane: Bility H.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Perth won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:29. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Perth won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 2:1.5).
Outrights of Australian A-League for now
Perth Glory: 3.3% Brisbane Roar: 3.11%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Perth Glory
0
0
0
0
0:0
0
0
5
Brisbane Roar
0
0
0
0
0:0
0
0
Last Results with these Odds
Perth Glory - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 30.19%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Sutton M. (G) 
Shamoon C. A. 
Kaltack B. 
Wootton S. (C) 
Sutton S. 
Salas Y. 
Lode M. 
Colakovski S. 
O'Shea J. 
Vrakas G. 
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