Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport
Romania	Sport Extra
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Perugia		Pisa

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.25
	2.12	3.15	3.5
	2.26	3.05	3.2
	2.29	3.16	3.54
	2.1	3.2	3.5
	2.16	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.22	3.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.16)	3.18 ↓ (3.23)	3.36 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie B with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
42.6%

Draw
29.5%

Pisa
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.8%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	38.5%	30.8%

Perugia - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Pisa will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Perugia has the most likely position - 19 (9.04%), has project points - 44, has currently - 4, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Pisa has the most likely position - 19 (9.24%), has project points - 43, has currently - 2, has a chance of relegated (35%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 40, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Perugia won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Perugia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Perugia won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie B
18.09.22	Ternana - Perugia	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Perugia - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Brescia - Perugia	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Perugia - Bari	1:3 ✺
20.08.22	Perugia - Parma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLT
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
17.09.22	Venezia - Pisa	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Pisa - Reggina	0:1 ✺
04.09.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Pisa	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Pisa - Genoa	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Pisa - Como	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.04.22	Perugia - Pisa	1:1
30.11.21	Pisa - Perugia	1:1
29.02.20	Pisa - Perugia	1:0
04.10.19	Perugia - Pisa	1:0
Club Friendly
02.08.17	Pisa - Perugia	1:1
Italian Serie B
04.04.17	Perugia - Pisa	2:2
05.11.16	Pisa - Perugia	0:1

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