The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Perugia 30.2%
Draw 29.8%
Parma 39.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
29.2%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perugia's form might have worsened.
Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Parma's recent form is better than expected.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
40.7%
37%
Perugia - Parma Predictions
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Parma will win (votes: 10 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 40.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 22.2% โ 59.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Perugia has the most likely position - 14 (6.4%), has project points - 48, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (23%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (25%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Parma has the most likely position - 1 (17.92%), has project points - 64, has currently - 1, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (45%), has a chance of promoted (42%), has a chance of win league (18%).
This event has quality37, importance40, match rating39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Parma is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Parma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Perugia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
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