Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 9

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Pisa

	1	X	2
	3	2.6	2.9	Watch
	2.87	2.65	2.8
	3	2.65	2.8	Watch
	3.17	2.77	2.96
	3.04	2.63	2.93	Watch
	2.88	2.88	2.62
	2.95	2.85	2.74	Watch
	3	2.65	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.73)	2.71 ↓ (2.97)	2.82 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
31.6%

Draw
34.9%

Pisa
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31.6%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

32.9%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	78.9%	10.5%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Pisa will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 78.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 60.6% – 97.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poluzzi G. (G) 4. Arrigoni T. 23. Ceppitelli L. 30. Giorgini A. 79. Molina S. 5. Masiello A. 99. Praszelik M. 7. Rover M. 21. Tait F. (C) 90. Odogwu R. 17. Casiraghi D.	47. Semper A. (G) 17. Rus A. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 5. Canestrelli S. 15. Toure I. 36. Piccinini G. 8. Hojholt M. 20. Beruatto P. 30. Arena A. 45. Lind A. 32. Moreo S.
Substitutes
44. Bonifacio L. (G) 9. Crespi V. 24. Davi S. 12. Drago G. (G) 28. Kofler R. 6. Martini J. 33. Merkaj S. 19. Pietrangeli N. 68. Vimercati A. 11. Zedadka K.	28. Abildgaard O. 3. Angori S. 94. Bonfanti G. 9. Bonfanti N. 33. Calabresi A. 70. Leoncini M. 22. Loria L. (G) 6. Marin M. 7. Mlakar J. 1. Nicolas Andrade (G) 11. Tramoni M. 10. Vignato E.
Coaches
Valente F.	Inzaghi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Tait F. ⚽,
37', Tait F. ↓, Davi S. ↑,
38', 1 - 1, Lind A. ⚽, Hojholt M. (A),
42', Piccinini G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Piccinini G. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
59', 1 - 2, Arena A. (Pen),
64', Masiello A. 🟨,
66', Casiraghi D. ↓, Merkaj S. ↑,
66', Praszelik M. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
75', Arena A. ↓, Tramoni M. ↑,
75', Lind A. ↓, Bonfanti N. ↑,
78', Beruatto P. ↓, Angori S. ↑,
78', Molina S. ↓, Zedadka K. ↑,
78', Rover M. ↓, Crespi V. ↑,
80', Marin M. 🟨,
86', Moreo S. ↓, Mlakar J. ↑,
88', Toure I. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Südtirol: Kurtic J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Pisa: Morutan O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Südtirol: Cagnano A. (Injury) Mallamo A. (Injury) Masiello A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Pisa: Esteves T. (Tendon Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Südtirol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
06.10.24	Nuova Cosenza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2 ✺
30.09.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo	1:3 ✺
21.09.24	Sampdoria - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Reggiana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:3 ✺
31.08.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Brescia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWL
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
05.10.24	Pisa - Cesena	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Juve Stabia - Pisa	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.24	Pisa - Cesena	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
21.09.24	Pisa - Brescia	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Salernitana - Pisa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.05.24	Pisa - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:2
11.11.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Pisa	1:2
04.02.23	Pisa - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1
04.09.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Pisa	2:1

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