Match Info

SCOTLAND: League Two - Round 29

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Balmoor (Peterhead)


	Peterhead		Edinburgh City

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.7
	1.72	3.6	3.9
	1.89	3.55	3.7
	1.8	3.65	4.01
	1.84	3.66	3.7	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4
	1.81	3.62	3.94
	1.89	3.55	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.63)	3.57 ↓ (3.81)	3.83 ↓ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterhead
50.2%

Draw
25.8%

Edinburgh City
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

24.2%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

25.8%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peterhead's form might have worsened.

Edinburgh City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peterhead, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Edinburgh City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Peterhead - Edinburgh City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McKenzie S. (G) 2. Strachan D. 15. Ross S. 5. Brown J. 29. Dunne C. 77. Barry M. 8. McCarthy A. 17. Smith C. 21. Forrest D. 22. Ross S. 9. McAllister R.	1. Weir M. (G) 4. Robertson J. 6. Lynch E. 23. Grigor J. 3. Mitchell Q. 21. Wells D. 8. Jones S. 11. Lawson I. 10. Jarvis J. 7. Stokes J. 33. Ouzy See
Substitutes
3. Armstrong J. 12. Brown J. 18. Brown J. 14. Carnwath A. 25. Colloty O. 4. Goldie C. 13. Oluyemi B. (G) 16. Wilson D.	12. Beveridge D. (G) 25. Daramola T. 2. Gormley S. 28. Hamilton R. 19. Pitt C. 15. Scally S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', McCarthy A. 🟨,
39', Grigor J. 🟨,
45+1', Jarvis J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Barry M. ⚽, Forrest D. (A),
62', McAllister R. ↓, Colloty O. ↑,
63', Mitchell Q. ↓, Gormley S. ↑,
73', McCarthy A. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Colloty O. ⚽, Ross S. (A),
75', Wells D. ↓, Daramola T. ↑,
78', Ross S. 🟨,
79', Brown J. 🟨,
79', Lynch E. 🟨,
82', Ross S. ↓, Wilson D. ↑,
82', Barry M. ↓, Carnwath A. ↑,
83', Robertson J. 🟨,
84', Robertson J. 🟨,
85', 🟨,
87', Jarvis J. ↓, Hamilton R. ↑,
87', Jones S. ↓, Scally S. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peterhead won 3.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Peterhead is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Peterhead won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:13 (average 1.2:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Peterhead won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterhead
Scottish League Two
08.03.25	Stranraer - Peterhead	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Peterhead - Elgin City	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	East Fife - Peterhead	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Peterhead - Clyde	2:2 ✺
08.02.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Peterhead	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWTTW
- Edinburgh City FC
Scottish League Two
08.03.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Edinburgh City	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Edinburgh City - Stranraer	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Elgin City - Edinburgh City	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Edinburgh City - Spartans	5:0 ✺
08.02.25	Forfar Athletic - Edinburgh City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
11.01.25	Edinburgh City - Peterhead	0:1
16.11.24	Peterhead - Edinburgh City	2:3
31.08.24	Edinburgh City - Peterhead	0:4
Scottish League One
08.04.23	Peterhead - Edinburgh City	1:0
24.12.22	Edinburgh City - Peterhead	4:0
29.10.22	Peterhead - Edinburgh City	1:1
05.10.22	Edinburgh City - Peterhead	2:0

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