Match Info

SCOTLAND: League Two - Round 28

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: New Dundas Park (Bonnyrigg)


	Bonnyrigg Rose		Edinburgh City

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.5
	2.55	3.3	2.3
	2.6	3.45	2.5
	2.54	3.48	2.61
	2.53	3.46	2.48
	2.75	3.3	2.45
	2.59	3.37	2.59
	2.6	3.45	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.4)	3.38 ↑ (3.26)	2.49 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonnyrigg Rose
35.7%

Draw
27.3%

Edinburgh City
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonnyrigg Rose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Edinburgh City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (-2%)

Bonnyrigg Rose - Edinburgh City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McNeil A. (G) 2. Mailer A. 4. Young K. (C) 3. Martyniuk N. 20. Lennon G. 16. Aiken M. 10. Currie L. 7. Ferrie M. 24. Watson B. 19. Ross C. 9. McGachie K.	1. Weir M. (G) 4. Robertson J. (C) 5. McArthur L. 23. Grigor J. 3. Mitchell Q. 8. Jones S. 11. Lawson I. 10. Jarvis J. 24. Zaid M. 7. Stokes J. 33. See O.
Substitutes
25. Andrews M. (G) 11. Barrett B. 22. Connolly C. 15. Hogg C. 6. Macleod J. 21. Porteous R. 18. Somerville K.	12. Beveridge D. (G) 25. Daramola T. 2. Gormley S. 20. Hamilton R. 6. Lynch E. 19. Pitt C. 15. Scally S. 21. Wells D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Zaid M. 🟨,
7', McGachie K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Zaid M. 🟨,
61', Grigor J. 🟨,
62', 🟨,
65', Lawson I. ↓, Wells D. ↑,
67', Jones S. ↓, Daramola T. ↑,
73', Watson B. ↓, Barrett B. ↑,
75', McGachie K. 🟨,
76', 🟨,
85', Ross C. 🟥,
86', Ferrie M. ↓, Connolly C. ↑,
89', See O. ↓, Gormley S. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 1, Stokes J. ⚽, Jarvis J. (A),

Preview

Bonnyrigg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Edinburgh City is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bonnyrigg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Bonnyrigg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish League Two
01.03.25	Spartans - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:1 ✺
22.02.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Forfar Athletic	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	East Fife - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Peterhead	3:4 ✺
04.02.25	Elgin City - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTLL
- Edinburgh City FC
Scottish League Two
01.03.25	Edinburgh City - Stranraer	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Elgin City - Edinburgh City	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Edinburgh City - Spartans	5:0 ✺
08.02.25	Forfar Athletic - Edinburgh City	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Edinburgh City - Stirling Albion	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
04.01.25	Edinburgh City - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:0
19.10.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Edinburgh City	2:0
17.08.24	Edinburgh City - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:2
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - Edinburgh City	1:2

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