Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA RIO - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 30 August 2023, Wednesday


	Petrópolis		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	2.09	3.55	2.96
	1.99	3.35	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.77)	3.45 ↓ (3.52)	3.23 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrópolis
45%

Draw
26.6%

Volta Redonda
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26.2%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

27.2%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Petrópolis's form might have worsened.

Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Volta Redonda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrópolis than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petrópolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volta Redonda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Petrópolis - Volta Redonda Predictions

Users Predictions: Petrópolis will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Gonçalense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Volta Redonda is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gonçalense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gonçalense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gonçalense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrópolis FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
09.08.23	Petrópolis - Olaria	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Olaria - Petrópolis	1:0 ✺
02.08.23	Olaria - Petrópolis	1:2 ✺
20.07.23	Petrópolis - Resende	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Petrópolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWWL
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie C
26.08.23	Aparecidense - Volta Redonda	2:3 ✺
20.08.23	Volta Redonda - Figueirense	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	Volta Redonda - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Remo - Volta Redonda	2:1 ✺
29.07.23	Volta Redonda - Altos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
25.05.22	Volta Redonda - Petrópolis	3:1

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