Match Info

Superliga - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadionul Ilie Oană (Ploiesti)

Referee: Mladinovici H. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV


	Petrolul Ploieşti		Hermannstadt

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	4.1	Watch
	1.9	3.1	4.15
	2.22	2.97	4.18
	1.97	3.23	4.07	Watch
	1.95	3	4
	1.92	3.15	4.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.48)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)	4.13 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Petrolul Ploieşti
47.4%

Draw
30.1%

Hermannstadt
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

30.1%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

31%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrolul Ploieşti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petrolul Ploieşti's performance.

Hermannstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hermannstadt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrolul Ploieşti than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petrolul Ploieşti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermannstadt than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hermannstadt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	8.3%	41.7%

Petrolul Ploieşti - Hermannstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ploiesti will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Hermannstadt will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ploiesti: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Balbarau R. (G) 24. Ricardinho 4. Papp P. 69. Roche Y. 23. Dumitrescu A. 88. Dulca M. 6. Jyry T. 55. Pop R. 28. Hermann R. 7. Grozav G. (C) 9. Chica-Rosa A.	1. Lazar D. (G) 66. Capusa T. 3. Karo A. 2. Chorbadzhiyski B. 98. Ciubotaru K. 8. Albu D. 36. Zargary A. 23. Florescu E. 96. Balaure S. 11. Bus S. 10. Negut C. (C)
Substitutes
17. Aymbetov A. 77. Boateng N. 97. Dumitrache A. 11. Gheorghe V. 20. Hanca S. 22. Ignat C. 41. Krell S. (G) 29. Ludewig K. 64. Marian B. 8. Mateiu A. 71. Prce F. 2. Rodrigues D.	15. Afalna C. 27. Barstan I. 19. Gjorgjievski M. 16. Issah S. 31. Mutiu V. (G) 29. Ritivoi S. 70. Simba M. 77. Stancu L. 4. Stoica I.
Coaches
Topal M.	Munteanu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Ciubotaru K. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Roche Y. ⚽, Jyry T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bus S. ↓, Gjorgjievski M. ↑,
46', Albu D. ↓, Gjorgjievski M. ↑,
58', Hermann R. ↓, Mateiu A. ↑,
62', Florescu E. ↓, Afalna C. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Negut C. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Balaure S. ↓, Stancu L. ↑,
79', Ricardinho ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
79', Dulca M. ↓, Hanca S. ↑,
87', Chica-Rosa A. 🟨,
88', Pop R. ↓, Marian B. ↑,
89', Dumitrescu A. ↓, Gheorghe V. ↑,
90', Karo A. 🟨,
90+1', Ciubotaru K. 🟨,
90+4', Papp P. 🟨,
90+8', Negut C. ↓, Issah S. ↑,
90+9', Lazar D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ploiesti won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hermannstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ploiesti has had a series of away games.

Ploiesti will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ploiesti: Botogan A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Hermannstadt: Batista D. (Inactive) Kujabi K. (Injury) Politic D. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ploiesti won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ploiesti won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Petrolul	10	6	1	3	13:12	1	19

Last Results with these Odds

Petrolul Ploieşti - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.97%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Hermannstadt - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 32.98%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrolul Ploieşti
Romanian SuperLiga
12.04.26	Unirea Slobozia - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Petrolul Ploieşti - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Metaloglobus Bucureşti - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Farul Constanța - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Botoșani - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLLW
- AFC Hermannstadt
Romanian SuperLiga
10.04.26	Hermannstadt - Farul Constanța	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Oţelul Galaţi - Hermannstadt	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Hermannstadt - Botoșani	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	UTA Arad - Hermannstadt	3:2 ✺
08.03.26	Oţelul Galaţi - Hermannstadt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
21.12.25	Hermannstadt - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1
16.08.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Hermannstadt	1:1
11.04.25	Hermannstadt - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1
09.02.25	Hermannstadt - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1
27.09.24	Petrolul Ploieşti - Hermannstadt	4:1
Club Friendly
26.06.24	Hermannstadt - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:1
Romanian SuperLiga
25.04.24	Hermannstadt - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:0

Upcoming Matches