Match Info

Date: 18 November 2020, Wednesday


	Petrópolis		Nova Iguaçu

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.2
	3.15	3	2.1
	3.25	3.1	2
	3.23	3.44	2.22
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3.22	3.22	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.99)	3.19 (3.19)	2.14 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrópolis
29%

Draw
28.5%

Nova Iguaçu
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28.5%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

20.9%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrópolis than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petrópolis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nova Iguaçu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Petrópolis - Nova Iguaçu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Carioca B1 (Second stage to Play Offs)).

Recent matches Gonçalense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nova Iguaçu is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nova Iguaçu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nova Iguaçu will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gonçalense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrópolis FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.11.20	Angra dos Reis - Petrópolis	2:1 ✺
11.11.20	Petrópolis - Artsul	1:0 ✺
07.11.20	São Gonçalo - Petrópolis	1:1 ✺
31.10.20	Goytacaz - Petrópolis	0:2 ✺
28.10.20	Petrópolis - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTWT
- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.11.20	Nova Iguaçu - Maricá	1:1 ✺
11.11.20	Rio São Paulo - Nova Iguaçu	0:2 ✺
07.11.20	Nova Iguaçu - Duque de Caxias	0:0 ✺
04.11.20	Olaria - Nova Iguaçu	1:3 ✺
31.10.20	Nova Iguaçu - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
21.10.20	Nova Iguaçu - Petrópolis	2:0

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