Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Campeón del Siglo (Montevideo)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Chile	ESPN Premium
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Mexico	ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Spain	beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app


	Peñarol de Montevideo		The Strongest

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	8.5	Watch
	1.35	5	8.75
	1.35	4.7	8.9
	1.37	4.92	9.22
	1.38	4.8	8.71	Watch
	1.29	4.8	8.5	Watch
	1.37	5.06	8.9	Watch
	1.35	4.7	8.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.25)	4.84 ↓ (5.5)	8.8 ↓ (11.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
69.7%

Draw
19.5%

The Strongest
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.7%

17%

8.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	26.7%	13.3%

Peñarol de Montevideo - The Strongest Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). The Strongest will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Aguerre W. (G) 20. Milans P. 23. Mendez J. 4. Rodriguez G. 27. Lucas Hernandez (C) 14. Garcia D. 13. Darias E. 7. Cabrera J. 8. Fernandez L. 28. Baez J. 11. Silvera M.	13. Viscarra G. (G) 15. Caire M. 5. Jusino A. (C) 3. Aimar D. 23. Chura J. 16. Cuellar V. 8. Ursino L. 28. Ayarza A. 7. Amoroso J. 30. Arrascaita J. 11. Triverio E.
Substitutes
33. Acosta N. 90. Avenatti F. 9. Batista F. 5. Cristoforo S. 12. De Amores G. (G) 16. Fernandez A. 2. Leo Coelho 18. Mayada C. 36. Olase T. 15. Olivera M. 26. Sequeira L. 19. Sosa D.	22. Bruno Miranda 31. Bustos R. 12. Careaga J. (G) 4. Enoumba M. 9. Guerrero S. 1. Gutierrez J. (G) 10. Ortega M. 21. Quaglio F. 18. Ramallo R. 19. Roca C. 26. Sotomayor G. 14. Wayar D.
Coaches
Aguirre D.	Rescalvo I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Fernandez L. ⚽, Baez J. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Silvera M. ⚽, Fernandez L. (A),
27', Darias E. 🟨,
36', 3 - 0, Baez J. ⚽, Fernandez L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Amoroso J. ↓, Guerrero S. ↑,
58', Baez J. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
58', Darias E. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
58', Arrascaita J. ↓, Enoumba M. ↑,
59', Jusino A. 🟨,
68', Chura J. ↓, Ramallo R. ↑,
71', Ramallo R. 🟨,
72', 4 - 0, Batista F. ⚽,
76', Cabrera J. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
76', Silvera M. ↓, Avenatti F. ↑,
81', Ayarza A. ↓, Ortega M. ↑,
85', Ortega M. 🟨,
90+3', Garcia D. ↓, Olase T. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

The Strongest is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Peñarol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Peñarol is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.08.24	Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:1 penalties ✺
27.07.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	River Plate Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - San Lorenzo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL
- The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional
08.08.24	Real Santa Cruz - The Strongest	1:2 ✺
04.08.24	The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros	5:0 ✺
01.08.24	Always Ready - The Strongest	0:0 ✺
27.07.24	The Strongest - Aurora	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	GVCD San José - The Strongest	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
17.05.18	Peñarol de Montevideo - The Strongest	2:0
15.03.18	The Strongest - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0

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