Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Serie Rio de la Plata

Date: 16 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Campeón del Siglo (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
World	Disney+


	Peñarol de Montevideo		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.87	3.1
	2.2	3	3.5
	2.13	3.06	3.43	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.3
	2.21	3.15	3.55
	2.2	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.64)	3 ↑ (2.98)	3.4 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
42.3%

Draw
30.7%

San Lorenzo
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

30.6%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peñarol de Montevideo's performance.

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Peñarol de Montevideo - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. De Amores G. (G) 25. Baez J. 7. Cabrera J. 13. Darias 10. Fernandez 34. Herrera N. 2. Leo Coelho 15. Olivera M. 6. Perez R. 11. Silvera M. 22. Suarez D.	1. Gill O. (G) 21. Braida M. 7. Cerutti E. 9. Cuello 6. Herrera D. 2. Herrera E. 5. Irala E. 80. Muniain I. 11. Reali M. 4. Romana J. 8. Tripichio N.
Substitutes
90. Avenatti F. 50. Garcia D. 32. Gianoli M. 27. Lucas Hernandez 18. Mayada C. 20. Milans P. 1. Morgan Michelena K. M. (G) 3616. Olase T. 30. Rossi N. 5. Sosa I. 28. Umpierrez	15. Arias N. 3. Baez E. 17. Cecchini 12. Clemente M. (G) 18. Escalante V. 19. Insaurralde M. 20. Salinardi B. 16. Vega J. 13. Zelaya M. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Darias E. 🟨,
45', Perez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Reali M. ⚽,
59', Romana J. ↓, Zelaya M. A. ↑,
59', Reali M. ↓, Escalante V. ↑,
59', Braida M. ↓, Baez E. ↑,
59', Muniain I. ↓, Insaurralde M. ↑,
61', Fernandez L. 🟨,
65', Suarez D. ↓, Milans P. ↑,
65', Leo Coelho ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
65', Silvera M. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
65', Darias E. ↓, Olase T. ↑,
65', Perez R. ↓, Mayada C. ↑,
65', Cabrera J. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
65', Fernandez L. ↓, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↑,
65', Baez J. ↓, Avenatti F. ↑,
68', Cuello A. ↓, Salinardi B. ↑,
68', Cerutti E. ↓, Ladstatter A. ↑,
75', Tripichio N. ↓, Cecchini E. ↑,
84', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

San Lorenzo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Peñarol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Peñarol will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

San Lorenzo - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 34.91%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Serie Rio de la Plata
12.01.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Colo-Colo	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.12.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:1 ✺
26.11.24	Progreso - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:5 ✺
17.11.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	2:0 ✺
14.11.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWWW
- San Lorenzo
Serie Rio de la Plata
13.01.25	Nacional Montevideo - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.12.24	San Lorenzo - Tigre	0:1 ✺
09.12.24	Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
04.12.24	River Plate - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
29.11.24	San Lorenzo - Belgrano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.07.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - San Lorenzo	0:2
17.01.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - San Lorenzo	1:0

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