The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nashville SC 41.8%
Draw 27.5%
Philadelphia Union 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.5%
26.5%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
26.3%
45.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nashville SC's performance.
Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nashville SC that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Schwake B. (G) 31. Najar A. 4. Palacios J. 5. Maher J. 2. Lovitz D. 20. Tagseth E. 8. Yazbek P. 19. Muyl A. 37. Qasem A. 9. Surridge S. 10. Mukhtar H. (C)
76. Rick A. (G) 39. Westfield F. 5. Glesnes J. (C) 29. Makhanya O. 27. Wagner K. 19. Vassilev I. 4. Lukic J. 21. Jean Jacques D. 32. Iloski M. 9. Baribo T. 20. Damiani B.
Substitutes
33. Applewhite C. 22. Bauer J. 7. Brugman G. 12. Bunbury T. 16. Corcoran M. 14. Shaffelburg J. 13. Valdez X. (G)
11. Bedoya A. 26. Harriel N. 31. Marks G. (G) 55. Olivas S. 14. Rafanello J. 33. Sullivan Q. 7. Uhre M.
Coaches
Callaghan B.
Carnell B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Damiani B. 🟨,
21', Westfield F. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Surridge S. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
37', Makhanya O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Qasem A. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Surridge S. ⚽,
62', Iloski M. 🟨,
64', Damiani B. ↓, Sullivan Q. ↑,
64', Iloski M. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
66', Wagner K. 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Sullivan Q. ⚽, Vassilev I. (A),
75', Lovitz D. 🟨,
76', Muyl A. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
77', Mukhtar H. 🟨,
85', 3 - 1, Surridge S. ⚽, Lovitz D. (A),
86', Vassilev I. ↓, Olivas S. ↑,
86', Mukhtar H. ↓, Bunbury T. ↑,
86', Baribo T. ↓, Rafanello J. ↑,
90', Surridge S. ↓, Corcoran M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 2.
Nashville is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Philadelphia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
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Schwake B. (G) 
Najar A. 
Palacios J. 
Tagseth E. 
Yazbek P. 
Qasem A. 
Surridge S. 
Mukhtar H. (C) 
Makhanya O. 
Lukic J. 
Jean Jacques D. 
Baribo T. 
Damiani B. 
Bunbury T. 
Valdez X. (G) 
Olivas S. 
Uhre M. 
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