Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 6

Date: 29 September 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Triestina		Mantova

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.15	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.16	3.27	3.32
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.08	3.3	3.15
	2.07	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.22)	3.25 ↑ (3.07)	3.16 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
43.2%

Draw
28%

Mantova
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.9%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

30.5%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

The chances for Mantova have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Triestina - Mantova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matosevic K. (G) 72. Pavlev D. 6. Anzolin M. 3. Malomo A. 7. Struna Al. 15. Correia O. 28. Celeghin E. 4. Vallocchia A. 30. D'Urso C. 32. Finotto M. 10. Lescano F.	1. Festa M. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 13. Brignani F. 5. Redolfi A. 23. Panizzi E. 28. Muroni M. 8. Burrai S. 21. Trimboli S. 7. Mensah D. 14. Galuppini F. 30. Bragantini D.
Substitutes
11. Adorante A. 22. Agostino G. (G) 12. Bolzon G. (G) 13. Ciofani M. 8. El Azrak R. 21. Fofana L. 14. Germano U. 20. Kozlowski O. 42. Moretti L. 77. Pierobon C. 33. Rizzo N.	24. Argint G. 6. Bani C. 4. Celesia C. 9. Debenedetti A. 11. Fiori A. 90. Giacomelli S. 27. Maggioni T. 45. Monachello G. 22. Napoli A. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 18. Suagher E. 10. Wieser D.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Triestina won 3.

Recent matches Triestina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mantova in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Triestina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Triestina won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Triestina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
24.09.23	Pro Patria - Triestina	0:3 ✺
19.09.23	Pergolettese - Triestina	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Triestina - Pro Vercelli	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	AlbinoLeffe - Triestina	1:2 ✺
04.09.23	Triestina - Trento	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWWL
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
24.09.23	Mantova - AlbinoLeffe	3:1 ✺
20.09.23	Giana Erminio - Mantova	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Mantova - Pro Sesto	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Mantova	0:2 ✺
04.09.23	Mantova - Padova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
05.03.23	Mantova - Triestina	1:0
30.10.22	Triestina - Mantova	2:1
27.02.22	Mantova - Triestina	0:1
20.10.21	Triestina - Mantova	2:1
Italian Serie C Group B
02.05.21	Triestina - Mantova	1:1
16.01.21	Mantova - Triestina	0:0

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