Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 19

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Virtus Francavilla		Potenza

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.95	2.75
	2.4	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.54	2.96	3.08
	2.54	2.89	3.08
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.34	3.02	2.92
	2.41	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.18)	2.99 ↓ (3.05)	2.93 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
38%

Draw
30.7%

Potenza
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

30%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

28.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Virtus Francavilla - Potenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Forte F. (G) 3. De Marino D. 40. Accardi A. 5. Monteagudo J. C. (C) 17. Carella F. 21. Risolo A. 8. Di Marco T. 7. Biondi K. 90. Giovinco G. 10. Polidori A. 9. Artistico G.	22. Alastra F. (G) 3. Maddaloni R. D. 16. Sbraga A. 5. Armini N. 98. Hadziosmanovic C. 7. Steffe D. 20. Laaribi M. 81. Candellori K. 77. Volpe G. 10. Di Grazia A. 9. Caturano S. (C)
Substitutes
70. Cardoselli C. 1. Carretta F. (G) 31. Enyan E. 72. Fekete M. 77. Fornito G. 80. Latagliata M. 18. Lo Duca L. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 30. Macca F. 23. Nicoli S. 20. Vantaggiato D. 29. Vapore A. 11. Zuppel D.	90. Asencio R. 37. Gagliano L. 1. Gasparini M. (G) 4. Gyamfi B. 55. Hristov A. 12. Iacovino A. (G) 6. Monaco S. 19. Pace F. 44. Pisapia L. 14. Prezioso M. 70. Saporiti E. 26. Verrengia B.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 2.

Recent matches Virtus Francavilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Potenza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Francavilla won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
16.12.23	Juve Stabia - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
11.12.23	Virtus Francavilla - Audace Cerignola	3:3 ✺
03.12.23	Catania - Virtus Francavilla	1:1 ✺
27.11.23	Virtus Francavilla - Città di Brindisi	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Nuova Monterosi - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTTWL
- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
16.12.23	Potenza - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Foggia - Potenza	0:0 ✺
04.12.23	Potenza - Taranto	1:2 ✺
26.11.23	Crotone - Potenza	2:1 ✺
19.11.23	Potenza - Audace Cerignola	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
05.03.23	Virtus Francavilla - Potenza	1:1
30.10.22	Potenza - Virtus Francavilla	2:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.22	Virtus Francavilla - Potenza	0:1 penalties
Italian Serie C Group C
06.02.22	Virtus Francavilla - Potenza	4:1
29.09.21	Potenza - Virtus Francavilla	0:1
21.02.21	Potenza - Virtus Francavilla	0:0
24.10.20	Virtus Francavilla - Potenza	2:1

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