Match Info

Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 2

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Pietà Hotspurs		Balzan

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.05	1.46	Watch
	4.84	4.12	1.52
	5.02	4.17	1.51	Watch
	5	3.7	1.5
	5.55	4	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (5.04)	4.01 ↓ (4.05)	1.5 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pietà Hotspurs
17.4%

Draw
22.5%

Balzan
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

22.4%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

22.1%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pietà Hotspurs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Balzan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietà Hotspurs than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Pietà Hotspurs - Balzan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Scicluna J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 0 - 2, Arab S. ⚽,
70', Vella J. 🟥,
70', 0 - 3, Dimeji A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', 1 - 3, Arthur ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pietà Hotspurs won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Pietà Hotspurs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Balzan is the clear favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pietà Hotspurs won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pietà Hotspurs won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Pieta	2	1	0	1	5:5	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pietà Hotspurs
Maltese FA Trophy
25.02.26	Birkirkara - Pietà Hotspurs	2:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Swieqi United	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Żurrieq	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Mtarfa - Pietà Hotspurs	0:6 ✺
31.01.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Gudja United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWWT
- Balzan FC
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.26	Balzan - St. Andrews	1:4 ✺
15.02.26	Marsa - Balzan	1:4 ✺
08.02.26	Melita - Balzan	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	St. Andrews - Balzan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
27.09.25	Balzan - Pietà Hotspurs	1:1
Maltese Premier League
12.02.23	Balzan - Pietà Hotspurs	3:2
09.10.22	Pietà Hotspurs - Balzan	2:3
Maltese FA Trophy
09.02.22	Balzan - Pietà Hotspurs	5:1
29.02.20	Balzan - Pietà Hotspurs	0:1
Maltese Premier League
17.02.19	Pietà Hotspurs - Balzan	0:3
29.09.18	Balzan - Pietà Hotspurs	1:0

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