Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Pietà Hotspurs		Mtarfa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.09	8.25	21
	1.07	7.3	23	Watch
	1.02	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.06	7.7	26
	1.05	7.5	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↓ (1.31)	6.35 ↑ (5)	18.4 ↑ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pietà Hotspurs
81.7%

Draw
13.6%

Mtarfa
4.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

18.3%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

12.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pietà Hotspurs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pietà Hotspurs's performance.

Mtarfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mtarfa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pietà Hotspurs than the current prediction. (-35%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pietà Hotspurs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mtarfa than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mtarfa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pietà Hotspurs - Mtarfa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Pisani N. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Arthur ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 3 - 0, Bio E. ⚽,
87', 4 - 0, Abo Assaf S. ⚽,
90', 5 - 0, Arthur ⚽,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Pietà Hotspurs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pietà Hotspurs is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pietà Hotspurs won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pietà Hotspurs
Maltese Challenge League
21.12.25	Swieqi United - Pietà Hotspurs	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Mġarr United	1:1 ✺
10.12.25	Pietà Hotspurs - St. Andrews	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Melita - Pietà Hotspurs	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLLW
- Mtarfa FC
Maltese Challenge League
20.12.25	Mtarfa - Gudja United	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Fgura United - Mtarfa	8:0 ✺
11.12.25	Mtarfa - Żebbuġ Rangers	4:1 ✺
30.11.25	Balzan - Mtarfa	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Mtarfa - Vittoriosa Stars	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
15.12.24	Mtarfa - Pietà Hotspurs	1:1

Pietà Hotspurs - Mtarfa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide