Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Pietà Hotspurs		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	3
	1.82	3.75	3.5	Watch
	1.8	3.49	3.81
	1.84	3.72	3.65	Watch
	1.84	3.99	3.48
	1.82	3.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.13)	3.7 ↑ (3.48)	3.49 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pietà Hotspurs
49.3%

Draw
24.6%

Santa Lucia
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

26.2%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

25.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pietà Hotspurs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pietà Hotspurs's performance.

Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pietà Hotspurs than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Pietà Hotspurs - Santa Lucia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cini R. (G) 14. Abela D. 99. Bio E. 6. Borg S. 4. Cutajar I. 8. Gatt L. 17. Leonardi K. 22. Leonardi Z. (C) 27. Mannino G. 31. Melillo T. 18. Ueda H.	13. Farrugia C. (G) 19. Asante E. 23. Bajada J. 15. Bradshaw A. 42. Hanan B. 7. Legault W. 45. Mawuena S. 5. Nicholl J. 8. Ojo T. (C) 6. Sixsmith J. 74. Vella A.
Substitutes
9. Arthur 5. Borg Ja. 3. Borg Je. 13. Farrugia J. (G) 25. Gatt I. 15. Kabar H. 29. Mangion Z. 7. Xuereb G. 11. Zammit A.	24. Agius S. 14. Bajada J. 1. Buhagiar M. (G) 21. Mangion D. 2. Polidano J. 9. Salis I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Bradshaw A. 🟨,
35', Leonardi K. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Ueda H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
51', Melillo T. 🟨,
59', 2 - 0, Borg S. ⚽,
75', 3 - 0, Leonardi K. ⚽,
76', Ojo T. ↓, Salis I. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Asante E. (Pen),
80', Ueda H. ↓, Arthur ↑,
82', Bajada J. 🟨,
83', 3 - 2, Leonardi Z. (Own goal),
85', 3 - 3, Salis I. ⚽,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Pietà Hotspurs could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pietà Hotspurs will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pietà Hotspurs won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Pietà Hotspurs won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pietà Hotspurs
Maltese Challenge League
01.03.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsa	5:2 ✺
22.02.25	Mġarr United - Pietà Hotspurs	3:2 ✺
16.02.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Tarxien Rainbows	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Żebbuġ Rangers	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	St. Andrews - Pietà Hotspurs	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTTW
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Challenge League
02.03.25	Santa Lucia - Mġarr United	1:1 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
27.02.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Santa Lucia	2:3 penalties ✺
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Santa Lucia	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Santa Lucia - Żurrieq	3:6 ✺
08.02.25	Senglea Athletic - Santa Lucia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
29.09.24	Santa Lucia - Pietà Hotspurs	0:1
Maltese Premier League
04.03.23	Santa Lucia - Pietà Hotspurs	2:1
22.10.22	Pietà Hotspurs - Santa Lucia	1:2

Pietà Hotspurs - Santa Lucia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide