Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 19

Date: 22 December 2023, Friday


	Lucchese		Ancona

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.72	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.74	3.43	4.4
	1.75	3.43	4.4
	1.67	3.4	4.5
	1.7	3.48	4.45
	1.75	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.42)	3.44 ↑ (3)	4.41 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
52.9%

Draw
26.4%

Ancona
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

30.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

30%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucchese's performance.

Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ancona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucchese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ancona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lucchese - Ancona Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lucchese will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lucchese: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Chiorra N. (G) 6. Tiritiello A. (C) 27. Gucher R. 23. Benassai F. 14. Quirini E. 8. Tumbarello G. 72. Visconti E. 30. Cangianiello S. 19. Russo F. 7. Rizzo Pinna A. 45. Yeboah P.	32. Perucchini F. (G) 31. Dutu E. 30. Pellizzari S. 13. Marenco F. 23. Clemente G. 94. Saco C. 6. Nador S. 19. Agyemang G. 10. Energe A. 9. Spagnoli A. 11. Cioffi A.
Substitutes
2. Alagna M. 12. Berti F. (G) 1. Coletta J. (G) 17. Djibril M. 77. Guadagni G. 38. Leone M. 99. Magnaghi S. 26. Merletti T. 3. Perotta N. 25. Quochi L. 9. Romero N. 11. Sueva G. 4. Toma R.	70. Barnaba T. 99. Basso G. 80. Gavioli L. 20. Kristoffersen . J. 72. Mattioli A. 21. Paolucci L. 34. Radicchio V. M. 22. Testagrossa G. (G) 12. Vitali L. (G)

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ancona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lucchese is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
17.12.23	Carrarese - Lucchese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
13.12.23	Avellino - Lucchese	0:1 ET ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
10.12.23	Lucchese - Fermana	0:0 ✺
06.12.23	Lucchese - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Arezzo - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTWT
- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
17.12.23	Ancona - Pescara	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Sestri Levante - Ancona	3:2 ✺
02.12.23	Ancona - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	SPAL - Ancona	2:2 ✺
18.11.23	Ancona - Recanatese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.23	Ancona - Lucchese	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
05.03.23	Lucchese - Ancona	1:1
29.10.22	Ancona - Lucchese	2:1
30.01.22	Lucchese - Ancona	2:2
25.09.21	Ancona - Lucchese	3:1
27.02.16	Ancona - Lucchese	3:0
17.10.15	Lucchese - Ancona	1:2

Lucchese - Ancona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide