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Current Win Probability
Pineto 38%
Draw 29.3%
SPAL 32.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.6%
26.8%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
25.6%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pineto's form might have worsened.
SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pineto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
37.5%
12.5%
Pineto - SPAL Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Pineto will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). SPAL will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (G) 17. Baggi F. 28. Ingrosso G. 14. De Santis S. 11. Borsoi M. 8. Germinario G. 6. Amadio S. (C) 21. Lombardi L. 7. Tunjov G. 9. Gambale D. 10. Bruzzaniti G.
22. Meneghetti M. (G) 6. Fiordaliso A. 29. Nador S. 26. Bassoli A. 28. Calapai L. 20. Zammarini R. 10. Radrezza I. (C) 33. D'Orazio L. 19. Mignanelli D. 27. Parigini V. 25. Molina J. I.
Substitutes
87. Barretta M. (G) 29. Chakir M. A. 23. Fabrizi L. 3. Giannini D. 98. Hadziosmanovic C. 13. Ienco S. 24. Marafini A. 1. Marone F. (G) 25. Marrancone A. 31. Nebuloso G. 4. Stambolliu M.
7. Antenucci M. 5. Awua T. 15. Haoudi H. 17. Iglio G. 9. Karlsson O. 99. Nina C. 18. Ntenda J. 11. Rao E. 40. Spini C. 34. Stagni T. (G) 31. Zenti A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Germinario G. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Bruzzaniti G. ⚽,
31', Bassoli A. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', D'Orazio L. ↓, Haoudi H. ↑,
46', Molina J. I. ↓, Antenucci M. ↑,
52', Fiordaliso A. 🟨,
58', Parigini V. ↓, Karlsson O. ↑,
59', Nador S. 🟨,
62', Gambale D. ↓, Fabrizi L. ↑,
62', Tunjov G. ↓, Marrancone A. ↑,
68', Germinario G. ↓, Nebuloso G. ↑,
68', Baggi F. ↓, Hadziosmanovic C. ↑,
72', Zammarini R. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Karlsson O. ⚽,
78', 2 - 2, Karlsson O. ⚽,
80', Rao E. ↓, Awua T. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Nador S. (Own goal),
86', Lombardi L. ↓, Ienco S. ↑,
90+1', Borsoi M. 🟨,
90+3', Bruzzaniti G. 🟨,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Pineto is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
SPAL is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Pineto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Pineto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Pineto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
Italy
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Tonti A. (G) 
Tunjov G. 
Nador S. 
Molina J. I. 
Hadziosmanovic C. 
Awua T. 
Karlsson O. 
Ntenda J. 
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