Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 5

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani (Pineto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Pineto		Forlì

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.40	2.90	2.75
	2.43	3.05	2.55	Watch
	2.63	2.91	2.96
	2.52	2.91	2.9	Watch
	2.60	2.85	2.90
	2.44	2.81	2.80	Watch
	2.46	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.43)	2.91 ↓ (3.05)	2.82 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pineto
36.4%

Draw
31.3%

Forlì
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

29%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

28.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Pineto have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+3%)

Pineto - Forlì Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (C) 13. Alessandretti G. 52. Frare D. 3. Ienco S. 2. Scheffer M. 8. Germinario G. 21. Lombardi L. 69. Pistillo D. 99. Pellegrino A. 10. Delle Monache M. 9. Vigliotti G.	12. Theiner D. (G) 26. Palomba L. 15. Valentini F. 95. Munaretti L. 11. Farinelli N. 10. Macri D. (C) 23. Scaccabarozzi J. 8. Rosetti M. 30. Perretta G. 19. Gabellini T. 7. Petrelli E.
Substitutes
77. Ardizzone S. 41. Asmussen A. 43. Colaneri C. (G) 5. Di Renzo G. 28. D'Orazio T. 15. Ferrante D. 7. Guadagni G. 4. Nebuloso G. 1. Turi C. (G)	24. Attasi M. 9. Coveri V. 6. De Risio C. 35. Diop S. 2. Mandrelli N. 21. Mattioli G. 36. Onofri M. 18. Perini G. 33. Rossi D. 17. Spinelli A. 1. Tagliaferri A. (G) 99. Tordiglione N. 4. Valentini F. 34. Veliaj G. (G)
Coaches
Barilari E.	Campedelli N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Scaccabarozzi J. ⚽, Farinelli N. (A),
37', Rosetti M. 🟥,
40', 1 - 1, Alessandretti G. ⚽, Vigliotti G. (A),
42', Campedelli N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pistillo D. ↓, Asmussen A. ↑,
66', Petrelli E. ↓, De Risio C. ↑,
66', Munaretti L. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
68', Germinario G. 🟨,
71', Germinario G. ↓, Guadagni G. ↑,
79', Ienco S. ↓, D'Orazio T. ↑,
80', Scaccabarozzi J. ↓, Perini G. ↑,
80', Gabellini T. ↓, Valentini F. ↑,
83', Lombardi L. 🟨,
88', Lombardi L. ↓, Nebuloso G. ↑,
90+1', Macri D. ↓, Mattioli G. ↑,
90+2', Guadagni G. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pineto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Forli	8	2	4	2	13:12	1	10
15	Pineto	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
12.09.26	Pineto - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Perugia - Pineto	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Pineto - Livorno	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Latina - Pineto	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.08.26	Pineto - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTTL
- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
12.09.26	Forlì - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Latina - Forlì	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.09.26	Ravenna - Forlì	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.08.26	Forlì - Pescara	6:3 ✺
23.08.26	Sambenedettese - Forlì	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
04.03.26	Pineto - Forlì	3:2
25.10.25	Forlì - Pineto	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group F
16.01.19	Pineto - Forlì	1:2
26.09.18	Forlì - Pineto	0:0

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