Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 33

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Sandro Cabassi (Carpi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Carpi		Pineto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.45	3.05	2.82
	2.53	3.15	2.78
	2.47	3.15	2.75	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.63
	2.45	3	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.26)	3.06 ↓ (3.37)	2.71 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
37%

Draw
29.6%

Pineto
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.3%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

27.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Carpi - Pineto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 6. Panelli T. 4. Zagnoni D. 19. Rossini M. 16. Tcheuna R. 29. Rosetti M. 80. Pietra N. 33. Pitti E. 77. Gaddini M. 10. Stanzani L. 23. Sall A.	22. Tonti A. (G) 35. Giannini D. 23. Serbouti A. 52. Frare D. 17. Baggi F. 8. Germinario G. 21. Lombardi L. 5. Schirone L. 11. Borsoi M. 9. D'Andrea F. 99. Pellegrino A.
Substitutes
8. Amayah P. 44. Benvenuto M. 11. Casarini F. 7. Cecotti T. 5. Figoli M. 9. Gerbi E. 27. Giva N. 17. Lombardi L. 18. Mahrani Y. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 28. Puletto F. 3. Rigo M. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 2. Verza N.	19. Biggi S. 79. Di Lazzaro F. 80. El Haddad S. 3. Ienco S. 14. Kraja E. 1. Marone F. (G) 7. Marrancone A. 28. Nebuloso G. 12. Verna A. (G) 18. Viero F. 24. Vigliotti G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Tonti A. (Own goal),
36', 1 - 1, Pellegrino A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Rosetti M. 🟨,
53', Rosetti M. ↓, Figoli M. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Borsoi M. ⚽,
66', Pitti E. 🟨,
72', Pellegrino A. ↓, Vigliotti G. ↑,
72', Pitti E. ↓, Cecotti T. ↑,
73', Tcheuna R. ↓, Verza N. ↑,
80', Lombardi L. ↓, Kraja E. ↑,
80', Serbouti A. ↓, Ienco S. ↑,
82', Panelli T. ↓, Casarini F. ↑,
82', Gaddini M. ↓, Gerbi E. ↑,
86', 🟨,
90+1', Germinario G. ↓, Marrancone A. ↑,
90+1', D'Andrea F. ↓, El Haddad S. ↑,
90+3', Casarini F. 🟨,
90+10', Schirone L. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Carpi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Pineto	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Last Results with these Odds

Pineto - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.96%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
14.03.26	Livorno - Carpi	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Carpi - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Gubbio - Carpi	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Ascoli - Carpi	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Carpi - Bra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLLW
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
14.03.26	Pineto - Bra	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Pianese - Pineto	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Pineto - Forlì	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Perugia - Pineto	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Livorno - Pineto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
15.11.25	Pineto - Carpi	1:0
15.03.25	Carpi - Pineto	1:1
03.11.24	Pineto - Carpi	1:4

Carpi - Pineto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide