The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pineto 15.3%
Draw 25.7%
Arezzo 59.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.3%
27.3%
53.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.9%
26.8%
54.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arezzo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Pineto - Arezzo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (G) 17. Baggi F. 35. Giannini D. 4. Postiglione N. 11. Borsoi M. 28. Nebuloso G. 5. Schirone L. 21. Lombardi L. 99. Pellegrino A. 24. Vigliotti G. 80. El Haddad S.
22. Venturi G. (G) 26. De Col F. 4. Coppolaro M. 19. Chiosa M. 37. Righetti S. 17. Ionita A. 8. Eklu S. M. 78. Iaccarino G. 30. Arena A. 71. Cianci P. 21. Tavernelli C.
Substitutes
6. Amadio S. 19. Biggi S. 9. D'Andrea F. 79. Di Lazzaro F. 16. Gagliardi L. 8. Germinario G. 3. Ienco S. 14. Kraja E. 1. Marone F. (G) 7. Marrancone A. 23. Serbouti A. 12. Verna A. (G) 18. Viero F.
5. Casarosa M. 24. Chierico L. 90. Concetti M. 72. Cortesi M. 77. Di Chiara G. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 13. Gilli M. 7. Guccione F. 10. Pattarello E. 91. Ravasio M. 6. Renzi A. 1. Trombini L. (G) 11. Varela Djamanca M. 23. Viviani M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Ionita A. ⚽,
37', Coppolaro M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Vigliotti G. ↓, D'Andrea F. ↑,
46', Nebuloso G. ↓, Kraja E. ↑,
46', Baggi F. ↓, Serbouti A. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Arena A. ⚽,
66', Iaccarino G. 🟨,
68', Coppolaro M. ↓, Gilli M. ↑,
68', Arena A. ↓, Pattarello E. ↑,
68', Giannini D. ↓, Gagliardi L. ↑,
73', Eklu S. M. ↓, Guccione F. ↑,
73', Iaccarino G. ↓, Viviani M. ↑,
75', Viviani M. 🟨,
75', Pellegrino A. ↓, Biggi S. ↑,
79', Cianci P. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
80', Tavernelli C. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, El Haddad S. ⚽,
88', El Haddad S. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 3, Pattarello E. (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', 1 - 4, Tavernelli C. ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Arezzo is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:11. (average 2.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Pineto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).