Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 30

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Recanatese		Pescara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	3.6	1.73
	4	3.75	1.8	Watch
	4.15	3.72	1.82
	4.15	3.72	1.83
	3.75	3.7	1.75
	3.87	3.75	1.75
	3.7	3.7	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.25)	3.71 ↑ (3.42)	1.78 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recanatese
23.6%

Draw
24.8%

Pescara
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

26.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

23.2%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pescara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Recanatese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pescara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Recanatese - Pescara Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Recanatese will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Pescara will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meli G. (G) 5. Shiba C. 14. Ferrante E. 54. Peretti M. 19. Raimo A. 24. Raparo M. 16. Morrone B. 25. Longobardi G. 10. Sbaffo A. 11. Lipari M. 9. Melchiorri F.	22. Plizzari A. (G) 18. Pierno R. 23. Pellacani F. 24. Mesik I. 2. Milani L. 8. Aloi S. 6. Squizzato N. 17. Tunjov G. 10. Merola D. 11. Accornero F. 29. Cuppone L.
Substitutes
74. Ahmetaj M. 37. Ferretti D. 31. Fiorini M. 21. Guidobaldi F. 22. Mascolo N. (G) 30. Mazia A. 7. Pelamatti A. 4. Prisco A. 33. Rizzo F. 12. Tiberi M. 2. Veltri A.	13. Brosco R. 30. Dagasso M. 28. De Marco A. 5. Di Pasquale D. 15. Floriani R. 33. Franchini S. 1. Gasparini M. (G) 7. Masala M. 27. Moruzzi B. 25. Staver C. 40. Zandri T. (G)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

The competitors look crappy now.

Pescara will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Recanatese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
02.03.24	Perugia - Recanatese	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Recanatese - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Arezzo - Recanatese	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Recanatese - Rimini	1:4 ✺
09.02.24	SPAL - Recanatese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- Pescara
Italian Serie C Group B
02.03.24	Sassari Torres - Pescara	4:1 ✺
24.02.24	Pescara - Lucchese	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Vis Pesaro - Pescara	4:0 ✺
13.02.24	Pescara - SPAL	1:2 ✺
09.02.24	Gubbio - Pescara	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
29.10.23	Pescara - Recanatese	2:3

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