Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 29

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Perugia		Recanatese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.5	6.25
	1.42	4.5	6.5
	1.38	4.3	6.4
	1.45	4.45	6.99
	1.35	4.33	7
	1.39	4.33	6.83
	1.4	4.3	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.37)	4.39 ↑ (4.2)	6.62 ↓ (7.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
65.4%

Draw
20.8%

Recanatese
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

21.4%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

20.4%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Recanatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Perugia - Recanatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Adamonis M. (G) 94. Mezzoni F. 44. Lewis N. 91. Souare M. 21. Cudrig N. 4. Iannoni E. 24. Torrasi E. 3. Cancellieri D. 10. Matos 20. Ricci F. 45. Sylla Y.	1. Meli G. (G) 5. Shiba C. 14. Ferrante E. 37. Ferretti D. 19. Raimo A. 8. Carpani G. 24. Raparo M. 25. Longobardi G. 11. Lipari M. 54. Peretti M. 9. Melchiorri F.
Substitutes
1. Abibi A. (G) 33. Agosti L. 5. Angella G. 14. Bezziccheri D. 71. Bozzolan A. 86. Giunti G. 28. Kouan C. 23. Lisi F. 7. Paz Y. 11. Seghetti A. 9. Vazquez F. 96. Viti M.	74. Ahmetaj M. 31. Fiorini M. 21. Guidobaldi F. 22. Mascolo N. (G) 30. Mazia A. 16. Morrone B. 7. Pelamatti A. 4. Prisco A. 33. Rizzo F. 10. Sbaffo A. 12. Tiberi T. (G) 2. Veltri A.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Recent matches Perugia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recanatese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Perugia is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Perugia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
25.02.24	Perugia - Juventus U23	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Sassari Torres - Perugia	1:0 ✺
14.02.24	Perugia - Fermana	1:0 ✺
09.02.24	Sestri Levante - Perugia	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Perugia - Rimini	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLWLT
- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
24.02.24	Recanatese - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Arezzo - Recanatese	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Recanatese - Rimini	1:4 ✺
09.02.24	SPAL - Recanatese	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Recanatese - Pontedera	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
26.10.23	Recanatese - Perugia	0:0

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