Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 21

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani (Pineto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256


	Pineto		Sestri Levante

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.2	3.6
	1.95	3.25	3.85
	1.98	3.18	3.95	Watch
	1.95	3	3.8
	1.89	3.22	3.86	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.13)	3.18 ↑ (3.16)	3.82 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pineto
47.3%

Draw
28.7%

Sestri Levante
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.9%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Pineto - Sestri Levante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (C) 11. Borsoi M. 17. Baggi F. 30. Villa L. 28. Ingrosso G. 21. Lombardi L. 8. Germinario G. 99. Pellegrino A. 10. Bruzzaniti G. 23. Fabrizi L. 29. Chakir M. A.	1. Anacoura J. (G) 27. Podda L. 5. Valentini N. 4. Pane M. (C) 3. Furno C. 25. Nunziatini F. 18. Rosetti M. 14. Oneto E. 58. Fedele M. 7. Durmush M. 10. Clemenza L.
Substitutes
6. Amadio S. 87. Barretta M. (G) 27. Del Sole F. 15. Dutu E. 9. Gambale D. 18. Giovannini A. 98. Hadziosmanovic C. 13. Ienco S. 24. Marafini A. 1. Marone F. (G) 25. Marrancone A. 31. Nebuloso G. 5. Schirone L.	37. Brugognone G. 6. Brunet J. 8. Conti F. 22. Fusco E. (G) 43. Montebugnoli M. 23. Nenci O. 19. Pavanello A. 53. Pittino T. 95. Primasso A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Germinario G. ⚽,
19', Bruzzaniti G. 🟨,
24', Furno C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Fedele M. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
61', Chakir M. A. ↓, Del Sole F. ↑,
61', Fabrizi L. ↓, Gambale D. ↑,
68', Baggi F. ↓, Hadziosmanovic C. ↑,
69', Pellegrino A. ↓, Schirone L. ↑,
73', Oneto E. 🟨,
74', 🟨,
74', Podda L. ↓, Primasso A. ↑,
74', Clemenza L. ↓, Conti F. ↑,
89', Durmush M. ↓, Brunet J. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Pineto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pineto will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pineto won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.6:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Pineto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
20.12.24	Lucchese - Pineto	3:3 ✺
13.12.24	Pineto - Rimini	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Virtus Entella - Pineto	4:1 ✺
29.11.24	Pineto - Pianese	1:0 ✺
25.11.24	Pescara - Pineto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TTLWW
- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
21.12.24	Sestri Levante - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Sestri Levante - Carpi	1:3 ✺
06.12.24	Ascoli - Sestri Levante	4:1 ✺
01.12.24	Sestri Levante - Perugia	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Milan Futuro - Sestri Levante	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
31.08.24	Sestri Levante - Pineto	0:0
05.04.24	Sestri Levante - Pineto	0:2
03.12.23	Pineto - Sestri Levante	1:0
Italian Serie D - Group A
04.06.23	Pineto - Sestri Levante	0:2
31.05.23	Sestri Levante - Pineto	0:0

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