Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 17

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Giuseppe Sivori (Sestri Levante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252


	Sestri Levante		Perugia

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	1.95
	3.75	3.15	2
	4.17	3.11	2.04
	4.09	3.13	2	Watch
	3.75	3.1	1.91
	3.92	3.15	1.9	Watch
	3.75	3.15	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↓ (4.02)	3.11 ↓ (3.24)	1.97 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestri Levante
23.9%

Draw
29.5%

Perugia
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

28.2%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

24.6%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestri Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Sestri Levante - Perugia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anacoura J. (G) 27. Podda L. 5. Valentini N. 53. Pittino T. 43. Montebugnoli M. 14. Oneto E. 86. Raggio G. S. 18. Rosetti M. 7. Durmush M. 9. Parravicini N. 10. Clemenza L.	1. Gemello L. (G) 94. Mezzoni F. 67. Plaia M. 13. Amoran P. 98. Giraudo F. 24. Torrasi E. 16. Bartolomei P. (C) 10. Matos 18. Di Maggio L. 23. Lisi F. 9. Montevago D.
Substitutes
37. Brugognone G. 8. Conti F. 11. De Felice F. 22. Fusco E. (G) 28. Giorno F. 23. Nenci O. 25. Nunziatini F. 4. Pane M. 19. Pavanello A. 95. Primasso A. 12. Sias F. (G)	33. Agosti L. 22. Albertoni M. (G) 7. Bacchin L. 4. Leo D. 30. Marconi G. 3. Morichelli R. 19. Palsson A. 73. Polizzi M. 20. Ricci F. 47. Squarzoni S. A. 45. Sylla Y. 2. Viti M. 12. Yimga F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Montevago D. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Durmush M. ⚽,
38', Lisi F. 🟨,
38', Giraudo F. ↓, Leo D. ↑,
42', 1 - 2, Montevago D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Oneto E. ↓, Conti F. ↑,
55', Raggio G. S. ↓, Giorno F. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Clemenza L. (Pen),
67', Montebugnoli M. 🟨,
76', Durmush M. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
79', Lisi F. ↓, Palsson A. ↑,
83', Montevago D. 🟨,
86', Clemenza L. ↓, Nunziatini F. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 13).

Sestri Levante is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Perugia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Perugia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sestri Levante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sestri Levante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
24.11.24	Milan Futuro - Sestri Levante	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	Sestri Levante - Rimini	0:3 ✺
09.11.24	Pescara - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Sestri Levante - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
29.10.24	Sestri Levante - Ternana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TLLTL
- Perugia Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
27.11.24	Perugia - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
22.11.24	Perugia - Arezzo	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	Pineto - Perugia	3:1 ✺
10.11.24	Perugia - Ternana	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Legnago Salus - Perugia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.02.24	Sestri Levante - Perugia	1:0
01.10.23	Perugia - Sestri Levante	1:0

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