Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 18

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252


	Ascoli		Sestri Levante

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.8	6.5
	1.47	4	6.8
	1.49	3.91	7.17
	1.5	3.92	7.06	Watch
	1.4	3.9	7
	1.42	3.9	7.24	Watch
	1.47	4	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.61)	3.92 ↑ (3.49)	6.94 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
63.2%

Draw
23.5%

Sestri Levante
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

26.2%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

25.4%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ascoli's performance.

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Ascoli - Sestri Levante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Livieri A. (G) 23. Alagna M. 28. Gagliolo R. 19. Menna D. 27. Cozzoli F. 24. Bando A. 8. Varone I. 7. Silipo A. 32. Tremolada L. 10. Marsura D. 18. Corazza S.	1. Anacoura J. (G) 27. Podda L. 5. Valentini N. 53. Pittino T. 43. Montebugnoli M. 18. Rosetti M. 28. Giorno F. 8. Conti F. 10. Clemenza L. 9. Parravicini N. 7. Durmush M.
Substitutes
22. Abati L. (G) 70. Achik I. 6. Adjapong C. 5. Bertini M. 77. Caccavo L. 21. Campagna S. 15. D'Uffizi S. 67. Gagliardi M. 25. Maiga Silvestri Y. 13. Piermarini M. 14. Quaranta D. 99. Raffaelli M. (G) 44. Tavcar A.	37. Brugognone G. 11. De Felice F. 22. Fusco E. (G) 23. Nenci O. 25. Nunziatini F. 14. Oneto E. 4. Pane M. 19. Pavanello A. 95. Primasso A. 86. Raggio G. S. 12. Sias F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Durmush M. 🟨,
35', Parravicini N. 🟨,
37', Gagliolo R. 🟨,
42', Valentini N. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Marsura D. ⚽,
52', 2 - 0, Varone I. ⚽,
59', Conti F. ↓, De Felice F. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Clemenza L. ⚽,
65', Silipo A. ↓, D'Uffizi S. ↑,
66', Marsura D. 🟨,
70', 3 - 1, Corazza S. ⚽,
72', Podda L. ↓, Oneto E. ↑,
73', Giorno F. ↓, Raggio G. S. ↑,
77', 4 - 1, Corazza S. ⚽,
79', Tremolada L. ↓, Bertini M. ↑,
81', Durmush M. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
83', Varone I. ↓, Maiga Silvestri Y. ↑,
83', Gagliolo R. ↓, Piermarini M. ↑,
83', Corazza S. ↓, Caccavo L. ↑,
85', Raggio G. S. 🟨,
88', Alagna M. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Ascoli is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sestri Levante is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ascoli is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
01.12.24	Sassari Torres - Ascoli	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Ascoli - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
15.11.24	Vis Pesaro - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Ascoli - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Arezzo - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWTTT
- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
01.12.24	Sestri Levante - Perugia	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Milan Futuro - Sestri Levante	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	Sestri Levante - Rimini	0:3 ✺
09.11.24	Pescara - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Sestri Levante - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TTLLT

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