Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 5 July 2023, Wednesday


	Pirata		Los Chankas

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.5	1.65
	3.75	3.6	1.75
	4.64	3.46	1.61
	4.5	3.5	1.67
	4.9	3.78	1.62
	4.4	3.55	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↓ (4.9)	3.57 ↑ (3.45)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pirata
20.4%

Draw
25.3%

Los Chankas
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

26.1%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

25.4%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pirata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pirata than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Pirata - Los Chankas Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pirata will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Los Chankas will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pirata: 15.4% – 84.6%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Franco E. (G) 8. Alva P. 6. Kambou H. 4. Leon F. 10. Lopez D. 5. Peralta M. 13. Quevedo P. 19. Rey I. 27. Rodriguez J. . 7. Sanguinetti F. 22. Sebben M.	1. Sotillo M. (G) 17. Casquete A. 5. Diez P. 2. Gamarra C. 11. Lopez C. 4. Mogollon E. 6. Palomino R. 14. Robles A. 26. Rodriguez J. 18. Takeuchi O. 23. Vasquez J.
Substitutes
17. Ferreira P. 29. Ferreyra K. 77. Rigazzi G. 33. Rojas M. (G) 20. Vento J. (G) 18. Villalobos J.	7. Benites A. 12. Izaguirre P. (G) 16. Martinez J. 10. Pacheco G. 25. Ramos L. 28. Rengifo D. 24. Vega N.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Pirata has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Los Chankas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Los Chankas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Los Chankas is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pirata won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Pirata won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pirata FC
Peruvian Liga 2
26.06.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Pirata	5:0 ✺
20.06.23	Pirata - Deportivo Coopsol	1:2 ✺
13.06.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Pirata	4:0 ✺
07.06.23	Pirata - Santos	0:0 ✺
31.05.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Pirata	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 2
27.06.23	Los Chankas - Unión Huaral	3:0 ✺
22.06.23	Comerciantes Belén - Los Chankas	0:0 ✺
11.06.23	Los Chankas - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:2 ✺
04.06.23	Los Chankas - Juan Aurich	2:0 ✺
28.05.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Los Chankas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
04.09.22	Pirata - Los Chankas	1:1
05.06.22	Los Chankas - Pirata	0:0
06.09.21	Los Chankas - Pirata	1:3
07.07.21	Pirata - Los Chankas	2:3

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