Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 37

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Lucchese		Carrarese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3	2.37
	2.8	3.1	2.5
	2.99	3.15	2.52
	2.99	3	2.53
	2.75	3	2.4
	2.9	3.08	2.43
	2.75	3.05	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.68)	3.05 ↓ (3.3)	2.45 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
32.4%

Draw
30.1%

Carrarese
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

27.6%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

The chances for Carrarese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Lucchese - Carrarese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Chiorra N. (G) 16. Astrologo A. 23. Benassai F. 27. Gucher R. 14. Quirini E. 7. Rizzo Pinna A. 21. Sabbione A. 6. Tiritiello A. 8. Tumbarello G. 72. Visconti E. 45. Yeboah P.	1. Bleve M. (G) 28. Capello A. 82. Capezzi L. 11. Cicconi M. 15. Di Gennaro M. 32. Finotto M. 4. Illanes J. 3. Imperiale M. 10. Panico G. 72. Zanon S. 17. Zuelli E.
Substitutes
2. Alagna M. 12. Berti F. (G) 30. Cangianiello S. 1. Coletta J. (G) 97. De Maria V. 11. Disanto F. 17. Djibril M. 20. Fazzi N. 10. Fedato F. 77. Guadagni G. 99. Magnaghi S. 47. Ndiaye B. 3. Perotta N. 19. Russo F.	39. Belloni N. 66. Boli J. 6. Cerretelli F. 21. Coppolaro M. 5. Della L. S. 99. Giannetti N. 7. Grassini D. 22. Mazzini S. (G) 24. Morosini L. 8. Palmieri R. 18. Schiavi N. 12. Tampucci T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Tiritiello A. 🟨,
33', Illanes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Gucher R. ↓, Disanto F. ↑,
61', Capello A. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
62', Rizzo Pinna A. 🟨,
73', Zuelli E. ↓, Della L. S. ↑,
73', Panico G. ↓, Giannetti N. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Finotto M. ⚽,
80', Sabbione A. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
80', Astrologo A. ↓, Cangianiello S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Carrarese is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 1.

Recent matches Lucchese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carrarese is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
14.04.24	Fermana - Lucchese	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Lucchese - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
28.03.24	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	1:3 ✺
24.03.24	Lucchese - Cesena	0:1 ✺
15.03.24	Virtus Entella - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWLT
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
14.04.24	Carrarese - Rimini	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	Recanatese - Carrarese	4:1 ✺
28.03.24	Carrarese - Perugia	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	SPAL - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Carrarese - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
17.12.23	Carrarese - Lucchese	1:0
15.04.23	Carrarese - Lucchese	2:1
10.12.22	Lucchese - Carrarese	3:2
09.04.22	Carrarese - Lucchese	1:0
15.12.21	Lucchese - Carrarese	0:0
Italian Serie C Group A
18.04.21	Carrarese - Lucchese	3:1
23.12.20	Lucchese - Carrarese	1:1

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