Match Info

Date: 7 February 2021, Sunday


	Pistoiese		Pro Patria

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.87	2.6
	2.7	2.85	2.55
	2.7	2.7	2.75
	2.7	2.65	2.65
	2.84	2.84	2.9
	2.88	2.88	2.62
	2.9	2.9	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.88)	2.81 ↓ (2.84)	2.66 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
33%

Draw
32.6%

Pro Patria
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

31.8%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

22.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pistoiese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pro Patria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pistoiese - Pro Patria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Recent matches Pistoiese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pro Patria is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pro Patria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Pistoiese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie C Group A
03.02.21	Pergolettese - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
31.01.21	Pistoiese - Como	1:0 ✺
24.01.21	Alessandria - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
16.01.21	Pistoiese - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
10.01.21	Grosseto - Pistoiese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLTW
- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
03.02.21	Pro Patria - Olbia	1:0 ✺
30.01.21	Pro Vercelli - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
24.01.21	Pro Patria - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
16.01.21	Pro Patria - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
10.01.21	Livorno - Pro Patria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
11.10.20	Pro Patria - Pistoiese	0:0
24.11.19	Pro Patria - Pistoiese	1:1
30.12.18	Pistoiese - Pro Patria	3:1
16.09.18	Pro Patria - Pistoiese	2:1

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