Match Info
Serie D - Group D - Round 19Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday
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Pistoiese |
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Rovato Vertovese |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.4 |
3.9 |
7.3 |
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1.42 |
4.01 |
7.16 |
Watch |
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1.36 |
3.7 |
8 |
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1.38 |
3.88 |
8.4 |
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1.41 |
4 |
7 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.39 ↓ (2.12) |
3.9 ↑ (3.38) |
7.57 ↑ (3.01) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pistoiese 64.9% | Draw 23.2% | Rovato Vertovese 11.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pistoiese's performance.Rovato Vertovese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rovato Vertovese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-21.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pistoiese that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rovato Vertovese than the current prediction. (+17.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rovato Vertovese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Pistoiese - Rovato Vertovese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 11', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 8).Pistoiese is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).Rovato Vertovese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Rovato Vertovese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Pistoiese has had a series of away games.Recently, Rovato Vertovese has had a series of home games. In this match, Pistoiese is a strong favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pistoiese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pistoiese | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:1 | 16 | 18 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;