Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Pistoiese		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.82
	2.27	3.5	2.73	Watch
	2.27	3.32	2.79
	2.28	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.3)	3.31 ↓ (3.41)	2.8 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
40.1%

Draw
27.5%

Desenzano Calvina
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26.7%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

27.9%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Pistoiese - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 1, ⚽,
59', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Pistoiese is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Desenzano is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pistoiese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
07.12.25	Tropical Coriano - Pistoiese	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.12.25	Correggese - Pistoiese	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.11.25	Pistoiese - Pro Sesto	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Asti - Pistoiese	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
16.11.25	Pistoiese - SantAngelo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
07.12.25	Desenzano Calvina - Imolese	4:3 ✺
30.11.25	Sasso Marconi - Desenzano Calvina	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Desenzano Calvina - Rovato Vertovese	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Desenzano Calvina - Tropical Coriano	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Cittadella Vis Modena - Desenzano Calvina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWT

Upcoming Matches