Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 22

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: LF Arena (Piteå)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Piteå		Umeå

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.80	3.50	2.05
	2.85	3.4	2.15
	2.89	3.71	2.2	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.12
	2.87	3.45	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.25)	3.51 ↑ (3.45)	2.13 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piteå
31.9%

Draw
25.7%

Umeå
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

25.9%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

24.7%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piteå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piteå than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piteå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Umeå could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Piteå - Umeå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Eriksson F. (C) 25. Hoeve Q. 6. Jamehdar S. 10. Johansson F. 18. Johnson J. 28. Jordan L. 5. Kavur B. 7. Muyenga A. 4. Oostra T. 17. Sulaiman K. 19. Wikstrom I.	1. Eriksson P. (G) 3. Andersson R. 16. Bawa Z. 26. Ekman D. (C) 33. Essombe Mambingo J. 17. Forsman S. 8. Godwin F. 23. Johansson I. 2. Linden N. 25. Njie M. 15. Wagnsson S.
Substitutes
8. Berglund C. 11. Bonilla J. 16. Brooks B. 26. Felicia G. 24. Ingemarson A. 14. Lundback J. 29. Naslund H.	9. Hadad R. 20. Hassan H. 22. Lindgren T. 35. Pihlblad L. (G) 7. Sandstrom A. 19. Shakir A. 12. Yeboah E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Ekman D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Sulaiman K. ↓, Lundback J. ↑,
60', Jordan L. ↓, Felicia G. ↑,
73', Njie M. ↓, Shakir A. ↑,
73', Johansson I. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
77', Jamehdar S. 🟨,
78', Jamehdar S. ↓, Berglund C. ↑,
78', Muyenga A. ↓, Naslund H. ↑,
80', Forsman S. ↓, Lindgren T. ↑,
82', Johnson J. ↓, Bonilla J. ↑,
88', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, Bawa Z. ⚽,
90+3', Lundback J. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piteå won 1.

Recent form of Piteå has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Umeå has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Piteå won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:30. (average 2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Piteå won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:10. (average 2.7:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Umea FC	25	9	5	11	34:41	-7	32
14	Pitea	25	5	7	13	30:46	-16	22

Last Results with these Odds

Piteå - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.45%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piteå IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
13.09.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Piteå	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Piteå - Karlberg	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	FBK Karlstad - Piteå	4:3 ✺
23.08.26	Hammarby TFF - Piteå	1:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.26	Piteå - AIK	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 LWLTL
- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
13.09.26	Umeå - Stockholm Internazionale	0:4 ✺
06.09.26	Arlanda - Umeå	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Umeå - Vasalund	3:2 ✺
23.08.26	Umeå - Enköping	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Gefle - Umeå	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
12.06.26	Umeå - Piteå	2:0
24.08.24	Umeå - Piteå	3:0
31.05.24	Piteå - Umeå	0:0
05.10.23	Piteå - Umeå	3:0
16.06.23	Umeå - Piteå	1:0
10.08.22	Piteå - Umeå	3:1
17.06.22	Umeå - Piteå	2:1

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