Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	Platense		Atlético Tucumán

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	4.75	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.8
	1.9	3.05	4.7	Watch
	2.13	2.94	4.09
	1.92	3.1	4.83	Watch
	1.87	3.1	4.95	Watch
	1.9	3.05	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.11)	3.03 ↓ (3.06)	4.55 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
48.1%

Draw
31.2%

Atlético Tucumán
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

30.9%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

31%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Platense - Atlético Tucumán Predictions

Users Predictions: Platense will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cozzani J. (G) 25. Saborido J. 13. Vazquez I. 6. Salomon O. 3. Silva T. 5. Herrera R. 14. Picco L. 7. Mainero G. 10. Taborda V. 77. Martinez R. 21. Lotti A.	25. Durso T. (G) 4. Martinez D. 6. Ferrari G. 33. Brizuela M. 32. Infante J. 11. Castro N. 8. Acosta G. 5. Sanchez A. 10. Franco N. 37. Coronel M. 27. Diaz L.
Substitutes
24. Barros Schelotto B. 30. Cervera T. 1. Desabato A. (G) 4. Elizalde E. 8. Juarez F. 29. Minerva F. 36. Orsini N. 2. Pignani J. 23. Roldan E. 26. Schor I. 19. Toloza S. . Zapiola F.	28. Auzqui C. 9. Bajamich M. 16. Brandan M. 29. Cabrera L. 3. de los Santos M. 24. Godoy L. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 30. Lopez K. 41. Melo R. 39. Orihuela M. 7. Rodriguez L. 22. Ruiz R.
Coaches
Gomez S.	Pusineri L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Martinez R. ⚽, Mainero G. (A),
11', Infante J. ↓, Orihuela M. ↑,
39', 1 - 1, Franco N. ⚽, Coronel M. (A),
45+3', Coronel M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Martinez D. ↓, Brandan M. ↑,
65', Lotti A. ↓, Orsini N. ↑,
65', Mainero G. ↓, Schor I. ↑,
70', Martinez R. ↓, Cervera T. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Acosta G. (Own goal),
82', Taborda V. ↓, Juarez F. ↑,
84', Acosta G. ↓, Cabrera L. ↑,
85', Coronel M. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
85', Castro N. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
90', Cervera T. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Platense won 1.

Platense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Tucumán has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Platense have a series of home games.

In this match Platense is a favorite.

There will not play in Platense: Bay J. (Injury) Lozano R. (Ankle Injury) Rodriguez M. (Injury)

There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Coronel M. (Injury) Tesuri R. (Knee Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Platense won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Platense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.03.25	San Martín de San Juan - Platense	0:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
12.03.25	Platense - Argentino de Quilmes	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.03.25	Platense - Lanús	0:0 ✺
04.03.25	Platense - Defensa y Justicia	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Godoy Cruz - Platense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTLT
- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.03.25	Atlético Tucumán - Vélez Sársfield	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	River Plate - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
03.03.25	Atlético Tucumán - Newells Old Boys	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.05.24	Atlético Tucumán - Platense	1:1
11.02.23	Platense - Atlético Tucumán	1:1
05.10.22	Atlético Tucumán - Platense	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.02.22	Atlético Tucumán - Platense	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.10.21	Platense - Atlético Tucumán	4:1

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