Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 12

Date: 17 April 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TV Publica


	Platense		Colón

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	3	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.87
	2.45	3.2	3.05
	2.58	3.12	3.07
	2.46	3.22	2.94	Watch
	2.48	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.32)	3.12 ↑ (3)	2.98 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
37.8%

Draw
30.4%

Colón
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

31.2%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

30.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	50%	20%

Platense - Colón Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Platense will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Colón will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Platense has the most likely position - 17 (5.54%), project points - 36, currently - 16, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Colón has the most likely position - 24 (6.56%), project points - 31, currently - 10, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 36, very small importance 0, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Platense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Colón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Platense: Alcorcel A. (Injury) Rossi I. (Injury)

There will not play in Colón: Benitez J. (Injury) Farias F. (Injury) Nardelli G. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Colón: Arrua C. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Platense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Platense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.04.23	Barracas Central - Platense	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	Platense - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Banfield - Platense	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Platense - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
13.03.23	Vélez Sársfield - Platense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 LWWWT
- CA Colón
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.04.23	Colón - Talleres de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
09.04.23	Boca Juniors - Colón	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Colón - Atlético Tucumán	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Independiente - Colón	2:2 ✺
13.03.23	Colón - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.10.22	Platense - Colón	1:2
06.11.21	Colón - Platense	3:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.03.21	Platense - Colón	1:3

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