Match Info

URUGUAY: Segunda Division - Round 7

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi (Colonia del Sacramento)


	Plaza Colonia		Sud América

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	4.2
	1.75	3.3	4.5
	1.8	3.23	4.84
	1.8	3.23	4.85
	1.7	3.3	4.5
	1.7	3.42	4.66
	1.74	3.25	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.01)	3.28 ↑ (3.15)	4.59 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plaza Colonia
52.3%

Draw
27.9%

Sud América
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

29.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

29.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plaza Colonia's performance.

Sud América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plaza Colonia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Plaza Colonia - Sud América Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Villalba D. ⚽,
45+1', Gimenez B. 🟥,
45+1', 2 - 0, Bahia D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Plaza Colonia won 1.

Recent matches Plaza Colonia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sud América is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Plaza Colonia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Plaza Colonia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Plaza Colonia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Segunda Division
09.06.24	La Luz - Plaza Colonia	2:1 ✺
05.06.24	Plaza Colonia - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
01.06.24	Rentistas - Plaza Colonia	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Plaza Colonia - Cooper	3:1 ✺
10.05.24	Plaza Colonia - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWW
- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.06.24	Sud América - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
06.06.24	Cerrito - Sud América	0:2 ✺
02.06.24	Sud América - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:0 ✺
26.05.24	Montevideo City Torque - Sud América	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Sud América - Albion Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
04.11.21	Sud América - Plaza Colonia	1:1
10.07.21	Plaza Colonia - Sud América	1:0
15.10.17	Sud América - Plaza Colonia	2:2
19.03.17	Plaza Colonia - Sud América	2:3
10.12.16	Plaza Colonia - Sud América	0:3
15.05.16	Sud América - Plaza Colonia	0:2
06.11.15	Plaza Colonia - Sud América	1:1

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