Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 7

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi (Colonia del Sacramento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports


	Plaza Colonia		Atenas de San Carlos

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.00	4.00
	1.84	3.20	3.95
	1.87	3.10	4.65
	1.88	3.23	4.38	Watch
	1.85	3.00	4.00
	1.90	3.32	4.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.02)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	4.19 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plaza Colonia
49.1%

Draw
29.1%

Atenas de San Carlos
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

29.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Atenas de San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Plaza Colonia - Atenas de San Carlos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Lopez M. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Gonzalez M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura: )).

Plaza Colonia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atenas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Plaza Colonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Plaza Colonia is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atenas	21	12	4	5	30:18	12	40
4	Plaza Colonia	21	9	5	7	26:21	5	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.06.26	Paysandú - Plaza Colonia	1:2 ✺
05.06.26	Plaza Colonia - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Plaza Colonia - Oriental de La Paz	3:1 ✺
16.05.26	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLWW
- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.06.26	Atenas de San Carlos - La Luz	4:0 ✺
07.06.26	Cerrito - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	River Plate Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Paysandú	3:2 ✺
17.05.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.08.24	Atenas de San Carlos - Plaza Colonia	1:3
10.05.24	Plaza Colonia - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0

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