Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 17

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi (Colonia del Sacramento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Plaza Colonia		Uruguay Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.20	4.10
	1.78	3.15	4.1
	1.87	3.25	3.96
	1.87	3.39	4.16	Watch
	1.8	3.15	4
	1.78	3.26	4.29	Watch
	1.79	3.15	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.86)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)	4.1 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plaza Colonia
49.9%

Draw
28%

Uruguay Montevideo
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28.9%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28.5%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Plaza Colonia - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Plaza Colonia will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Amoroso V. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 14).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Uruguay Montevideo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Plaza Colonia is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Plaza Colonia	21	9	5	7	26:21	5	32
14	Uruguay Montevideo	22	4	5	13	20:34	-14	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.08.26	Oriental de La Paz - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
26.08.26	Plaza Colonia - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.08.26	Plaza Colonia - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:4 ✺
10.08.26	Rentistas - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTWT
- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.08.26	Uruguay Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Uruguay Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.05.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	2:0
20.09.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	3:0
05.06.24	Plaza Colonia - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1
Uruguay Copa
30.10.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:2

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