Match Info

League One - Round 4

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Plymouth Argyle		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.4	2.5
	2.75	3.4	2.4
	2.62	3.35	2.52
	2.73	3.5	2.63
	2.85	2.99	2.61	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.45
	2.73	3.42	2.52	Watch
	2.38	3.42	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.34)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)	2.52 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
34.9%

Draw
28%

Leyton Orient
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.4%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

25.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	5%	80%

Plymouth Argyle - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 67.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Plymouth (1.99) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leyton Orient will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Leyton Orient (votes: 13 - 86.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 6. Szucs K. 15. Mitchell A. 22. Galloway B. (C) 14. Benarous A. 17. Watts C. 19. Boateng M. 39. Finn T. 10. Amaechi X. 11. Mumba B. 18. Oseni O.	1. Simkin T. (G) 14. Craig M. 19. Beckles O. (C) 5. Happe D. 3. Adaramola T. 15. Bakinson T. 8. El Mizouni I. 17. Koroma J. 27. Jaiyesimi D. 7. O'Neill O. 10. Connolly A.
Substitutes
13. Baker Z. (G) 38. Hatch J. 23. Ibrahim B. 44. Palsson V. 27. Pepple A. 24. Roberts C. 29. Sorinola M.	22. Abdulai A. 33. Cahill K. (G) 28. Clare S. 2. James T. 11. Mitchell D. 21. Moorhouse J. 4. Simpson J.
Coaches
Cleverley T.	Wellens R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Happe D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Finn T. ↓, Ibrahim B. ↑,
51', Oseni O. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Koroma J. ⚽, O'Neill O. (A),
64', Jaiyesimi D. ↓, Mitchell D. ↑,
70', Simkin T. 🟨,
70', Watts C. ↓, Hatch J. ↑,
72', Benarous A. 🟨,
79', Koroma J. ↓, Clare S. ↑,
79', Adaramola T. ↓, James T. ↑,
79', Mitchell A. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
90', Bakinson T. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
90+1', O'Neill O. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 3.

Plymouth is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leyton Orient has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Plymouth: Hazard C. (Knee Injury) Issaka F. (Thigh Injury) MacKenzie J. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury) Wiredu B. (Red Card)

There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T. (Knee Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Plymouth: Edwards J. (Hamstring Injury) Paterson J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Obiero Z. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Leyton Orient - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 35.81%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League One
16.08.25	Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers	3:2 ✺
English League One
09.08.25	Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Plymouth Argyle - Barnsley	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Plymouth Argyle - Bristol City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL
- Leyton Orient
English League One
16.08.25	Leyton Orient - Stockport County	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Leyton Orient - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English League One
09.08.25	Leyton Orient - Wigan Athletic	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Huddersfield Town - Leyton Orient	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Watford - Leyton Orient	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
08.08.23	Plymouth Argyle - Leyton Orient	2:0
15.09.20	Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle	3:2
English League Two
22.10.19	Plymouth Argyle - Leyton Orient	4:0
English League Cup
13.08.19	Plymouth Argyle - Leyton Orient	2:0
English League Two
14.02.17	Plymouth Argyle - Leyton Orient	2:3
27.09.16	Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle	0:2
19.04.16	Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle	1:3

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