The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plymouth Parkway 20%
Draw 21.9%
Farnham Town 58.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.9%
22.1%
56%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.1%
21.3%
58.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Farnham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnham Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Plymouth Parkway - Farnham Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Bowerman S. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, White S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 1, Thomson R. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).
Recent form of Plymouth Parkway has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Farnham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Plymouth Parkway may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Farnham is considered a favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Plymouth Parkway won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Plymouth Parkway
11
7
2
2
26:12
14
23
Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now
Plymouth Parkway: 6.29% Farnham: 1.45%
Last Results with these Odds
Plymouth Parkway - the odds 4.24 are the expected chance of winning is 21.92%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.