Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 26

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday


	Plymouth Parkway		Swindon Supermarine

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.75	3
	1.88	3.9	3.2
	1.96	4.05	3.25
	1.89	3.8	3.26
	1.88	3.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.24)	3.88 ↑ (3.74)	3.18 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Parkway
47.9%

Draw
23.5%

Swindon Supermarine
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

24.3%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

23.5%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Parkway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Parkway's performance.

Swindon Supermarine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Supermarine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Parkway that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Supermarine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Plymouth Parkway - Swindon Supermarine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Hall C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 1 - 1, Fernandes M. ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, Scarff T. ⚽,
61', 2 - 2, Fernandes M. ⚽,
72', 2 - 3, Williams H. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Plymouth Parkway is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Swindon Supermarine is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Plymouth Parkway will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Plymouth Parkway won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.6:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth Parkway won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
04.01.25	Basingstoke Town - Plymouth Parkway	0:1 ✺
01.01.25	Plymouth Parkway - Tiverton Town	0:0 ✺
28.12.24	Plymouth Parkway - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Frome Town - Plymouth Parkway	5:0 ✺
21.12.24	Plymouth Parkway - Gloucester City	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 WTWLW
- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
04.01.25	Sholing - Swindon Supermarine	3:5 ✺
01.01.25	Swindon Supermarine - Hungerford Town	1:3 ✺
28.12.24	Swindon Supermarine - Hanwell Town	2:2 ✺
26.12.24	Gloucester City - Swindon Supermarine	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	Frome Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
16.11.24	Swindon Supermarine - Plymouth Parkway	2:2
07.04.24	Plymouth Parkway - Swindon Supermarine	4:1
09.03.24	Swindon Supermarine - Plymouth Parkway	3:0
05.04.23	Swindon Supermarine - Plymouth Parkway	3:0
11.03.23	Plymouth Parkway - Swindon Supermarine	2:1

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