Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League South Division - Round 41

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Hayes & Yeading United		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.05
	2.9	3.6	2.1
	2.85	3.99	2.1
	2.85	3.99	2.1
	3.01	3.45	2.18
	2.9	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.45)	3.71 ↑ (3.48)	2.11 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayes & Yeading United
31.8%

Draw
24.7%

Salisbury
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.6%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

26.3%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayes & Yeading United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hayes & Yeading United's form might have worsened.

Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salisbury's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayes & Yeading United than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hayes & Yeading United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salisbury, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Coppin N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 2, Hedges J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: )).

Salisbury is Qualified for Southern League South Division (Play Offs )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hayes & Yeading won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Salisbury will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Hayes & Yeading won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Hayes & Yeading won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Last Results with these Odds

Hayes & Yeading United - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.79%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayes & Yeading United
English Southern League South Division
13.04.24	Gosport Borough - Hayes & Yeading United	1:2 ✺
09.04.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
01.04.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Hendon	0:0 ✺
29.03.24	Chesham United - Hayes & Yeading United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLTL
- Salisbury FC
English Southern League South Division
13.04.24	Salisbury - Harrow Borough	0:2 ✺
11.04.24	Plymouth Parkway - Salisbury	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Chesham United - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Salisbury - Basingstoke Town	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Swindon Supermarine - Salisbury	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
11.11.23	Salisbury - Hayes & Yeading United	2:1
21.03.23	Salisbury - Hayes & Yeading United	0:2
13.08.22	Hayes & Yeading United - Salisbury	1:0
05.04.22	Hayes & Yeading United - Salisbury	2:0
05.02.22	Salisbury - Hayes & Yeading United	1:1
English FA Trophy
23.11.19	Salisbury - Hayes & Yeading United	4:3
English Southern League South Division
16.11.19	Hayes & Yeading United - Salisbury	1:0

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