Match Info

Date: 26 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Goce Delčev (Prilep)


	Pobeda		Struga

	1	X	2
	9	4.4	1.29
	9	4.4	1.26
	9.21	4.43	1.3
	11	4.5	1.25
	8.7	4.65	1.3	Watch
	9.8	4.8	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.45 ↑ (5.7)	4.53 ↑ (3.34)	1.28 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pobeda
9.5%

Draw
19.9%

Struga
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

26.5%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

25.1%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pobeda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pobeda's form might have worsened.

Struga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Struga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobeda than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pobeda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Struga than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Struga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	22.2%	38.9%

Pobeda - Struga Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Pobeda will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Struga will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pobeda: 16.4% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 in the zone 1. MFL (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification)).

Pobeda is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Struga is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Struga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Struga is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pobeda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Pobeda
North Macedonian Cup
19.10.22	Pobeda - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov	0:2 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
15.10.22	Pobeda - AP Brera Strumica	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Sileks - Pobeda	0:3 ✺
02.10.22	Pobeda - Shkendija Tetovo	1:3 ✺
17.09.22	Rabotnički - Pobeda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LTWLL
- FC Struga
North Macedonian 1 MFL
16.10.22	Shkupi - Struga	1:0 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
05.10.22	Struga - Rabotnički	2:1 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
01.10.22	Makedonija Gjorče Petrov - Struga	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Struga - Tikveš	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	Struga - Skopje	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
06.08.22	Struga - Pobeda	3:0
North Macedonian Cup
29.08.18	Struga - Pobeda	1:2

Pobeda - Struga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide